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2:43

Bath

Great Britain

MJ Church Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

Friday, 22 May 2026

1m2f·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·7 runners·£5,400
Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Supplicate (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Roger Varian
    8/13F·1.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Eloquencia (GB)
    Luke Morris·James Owen·beaten 2 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Madrisa (IRE)AI top pick · 64.3
    Hollie Doyle·William Haggas·beaten 0.05 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 14.39s+10.89s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (Supplicate (GB))

“Made all - shaken up over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.064.3/100 rating
Madrisa
3.45Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way43.9/100 rating
Eloquencia
7.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Madrisa

Hollie Doyle · William Haggas · 3yo

64.3/100
+9.7 vs next best (54.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    William Haggas: 11/50 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    RPR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 3.45 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
517
West Hill Rosie
4yo · F · b
Seamus Mullins
00
10-00—40—29.8
300/1·301.00
SP
124
Supplicate
3yo · F · ch
Roger Varian
51
9-077262—54.7
8/13F·1.62
SP
331
Madrisa
3yo · F · bb
William Haggas
1
9-05—70—64.3
9/4·3.25
SP
246
Eloquencia
3yo · F · b
James Owen
32
9-02—613243.9
11/2·6.50
SP
655
Clarissa Eclipse
3yo · F · ch
David Simcock
4
9-00———22.0
125/1·126.00
SP
763
Last Flight
3yo · F · b
James Ferguson
77
8-12—61—40.3
40/1·41.00
SP
472
Spinney
3yo · F · b
Tom Clover
8
8-12—60—38.0
33/1·34.00
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2:43 Bath on 22 May 2026?

Supplicate (GB) won the 2:43 Bath at SP 1.62. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 2:43 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Madrisa) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 2:43 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Supplicate (GB) (1.62), 2. Eloquencia (GB) (6.50), 3. Madrisa (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 2:43 Bath?

The winning time was 2m 14.39s, 10.89s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Eloquencia has shown some ability but this is probably between the penalised Lingfield maiden winners MADRISA and Supplicate.

Racing Post pick: Madrisa

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

Evs Madrisa, 9/4 Supplicate, 7/2 Eloquencia, 14/1 Last Flight, 20/1 Spinney, 33/1 Clarissa Eclipse, 100/1 West Hill Rosie

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org