14:43 Bath

MJ Church Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 22 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Supplicate (GB)
Rossa Ryan·Roger Varian
8/13F·1.62
SP
2nd
Eloquencia (GB)
Luke Morris·James Owen·beaten 2 lengths
11/2·6.50
SP
3rd
Madrisa (IRE)AI top pick · 64.3
Hollie Doyle·William Haggas·beaten 0.05 lengths
9/4·3.25
SP

Race time

2m 14.39s+10.89s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (Supplicate (GB))

“Made all - shaken up over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Madrisa

Eloquencia has shown some ability but this is probably between the penalised Lingfield maiden winners MADRISA and Supplicate.

Forecast Evs Madrisa, 9/4 Supplicate, 7/2 Eloquencia, 14/1 Last Flight, 20/1 Spinney, 33/1 Clarissa Eclipse, 100/1 West Hill Rosie

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Madrisa

Hollie Doyle · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 7

score 64.3 · +9.7 clear of next best (54.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
55average
William Haggas: 11/50 winners last 14d (22%)
Ratings50% weight
47below average
RPR 70 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.06

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.08

High (6–7)

IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 85 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Supplicate J: Rossa Ryan · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 3yo · F · ch	51	9-07	72	62	—	54.7	8/13F·1.62 SP
2	4	Eloquencia J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 6 3yo · F · b	32	9-02	—	61	32	43.9	11/2·6.50 SP
3	3	Madrisa J: Hollie Doyle · T: William Haggas · draw 1 3yo · F · bb	1	9-05	—	70	—	64.3	9/4·3.25 SP
4	7	Spinney J: Jason Watson · T: Tom Clover · draw 2 3yo · F · b	8	8-12	—	60	—	38.0	33/1·34.00 SP
5	1	West Hill Rosie J: George Downing · T: Seamus Mullins · draw 7 4yo · F · b	00	10-00	—	40	—	29.8	300/1·301.00 SP
6	5	Clarissa Eclipse J: David Probert · T: David Simcock · draw 5 3yo · F · ch	4	9-00	—	—	—	22.0	125/1·126.00 SP
7	6	Last Flight J: Liam Wright(5) · T: James Ferguson · draw 3 3yo · F · b	77	8-12	—	61	—	40.3	40/1·41.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:43 Bath on 22 May 2026?

Supplicate (GB) won the 14:43 Bath at SP 1.62. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:43 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Madrisa) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:43 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Supplicate (GB) (1.62), 2. Eloquencia (GB) (6.50), 3. Madrisa (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 14:43 Bath?

The winning time was 2m 14.39s, 10.89s slower than standard.

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