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15:18 Bath

Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Raceday 15th July British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 22 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Flight Signal (GB)
    Hollie Doyle·Archie Watson
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jaan Ki Tukri (IRE)AI top pick · 68.1
    Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox·beaten 3.25 lengths
    4/7F·1.57
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Minkaas (IRE)
    Luke Morris·T J Kent·beaten 0.1 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 0.73s+1.63s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Flight Signal (GB))

“Pressed leader on outer - pushed along to lead over 1f out - shaken up and went further clear inside final furlong - readily”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.57 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Jaan Ki Tukri

The newcomers fetched six figures at the breeze-ups and Flight Signal is one to note. JAAN KI TUKRI will be hard to beat, though.

Forecast Evs Jaan Ki Tukri, 6/4 Flight Signal, 9/1 Minkaas, 10/1 Paper View, 20/1 On The Queue Tee

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Jaan Ki Tukri

Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 68.1 · +21.1 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    65strong
    RPR 100 · TS 96 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    Clive Cox: 5/23 winners last 14d (22%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.12
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 0.81

Today: Paper View (draw 1) and Minkaas (draw 2) get the bias; Flight Signal (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Flight Signal
J: Hollie Doyle · T: Archie Watson · draw 5
2yo · C · b
——19.5
11/4·3.75
SP
22
Jaan Ki Tukri
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
2yo · C · b
32
—68.1
4/7F·1.57
SP
34
Minkaas
J: Luke Morris · T: T J Kent · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——15.0
14/1·15.00
SP
45
On The Queue Tee
J: David Probert · T: J S Moore · draw 4
2yo · F · b
3
—32.7
40/1·41.00
SP
53
Paper View
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1
2yo · C · b
45
—47.0
8/1·9.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:18 Bath on 22 May 2026?

Flight Signal (GB) won the 15:18 Bath at SP 3.75. Ridden by Hollie Doyle. Trained by Archie Watson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:18 Bath?

No — the AI top pick (Jaan Ki Tukri) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:18 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Flight Signal (GB) (3.75), 2. Jaan Ki Tukri (IRE) (1.57), 3. Minkaas (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:18 Bath?

The winning time was 1m 0.73s, 1.63s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org