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16:17 Goodwood

Fitzdares Festival Stakes (Listed Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · £39,697 · Friday, 22 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/2·6.50
  1. 1st
    Boiling Point (IRE)AI top pick · 68.5
    Shane Gray·K R Burke
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Naqeeb (IRE)
    Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 0.1 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Enfjaar (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 7.04s+1.84s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Boiling Point (IRE))

“Took keen hold - soon led - headed but raced in second after 3f - pressed leaders over 2f out - outpaced over 1f out - ridden and rallied inside final furlong - led again towards finish - gamely”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Boiling Point

The shortlist is headed by BOILING POINT and Ice Max who give Karl Burke a robust hand. Haatem is third choice.

Forecast 7/2 Ice Max, Haatem, 9/2 Boiling Point, 5/1 Enfjaar, 7/1 La Botte, 12/1 Naqeeb, Involvement, 14/1 Certain Lad, 16/1 High Stock

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Boiling Point

Shane Gray · K R Burke · 5yo

Top-rated of 9
score 68.5 · +4.8 clear of next best (63.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    80strong
    OR 113 · RPR 130 · TS 116 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    65strong
    Last 6: 4-2-1-4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    K R Burke: 6/42 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.19
High (7–9)
IV 1.02

Today: Ice Max (draw 4) and High Stock (draw 5) get the bias; Boiling Point (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 104 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Boiling Point
J: Shane Gray · T: K R Burke · draw 1
5yo · H · b
42143
11368.5
11/2·6.50
SP
22
Naqeeb
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 2
6yo · G · b
82815
11057.3
14/1·15.00
SP
35
Enfjaar
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 7
6yo · G · bh
2543
10863.1
4/1·5.00
SP
48
Involvement
J: David Egan · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6
5yo · G · b
35013
10556.8
10/1·11.00
SP
57
High Stock
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
4yo · C · b
20447
10561.5
18/1·19.00
SP
61
Ice Max
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 4
5yo · G · gr
71153
11063.7
3/1J·4.00
SP
76
Haatem
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3
5yo · H · b
54136
11261.5
3/1J·4.00
SP
89
La Botte
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Harry Eustace · draw 9
4yo · C · b
42407
10258.4
9/1·10.00
SP
94
Certain Lad
J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 8
10yo · G · b
36743
10551.9
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:17 Goodwood on 22 May 2026?

Boiling Point (IRE) won the 16:17 Goodwood at SP 6.50. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by K R Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:17 Goodwood?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Boiling Point, won the race (AI score 68.5).

What were the placings in the 16:17 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Boiling Point (IRE) (6.50), 2. Naqeeb (IRE) (15.00), 3. Enfjaar (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:17 Goodwood?

The winning time was 2m 7.04s, 1.84s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org