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4:52

Goodwood

Great Britain

Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap

Friday, 22 May 2026

7f·Flat·Class 3·Good·14 runners·£10,468
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 13th
  1. 1st
    Crimson Spirit (GB)
    Ray Dawson·Daniel & Claire Kubler
    4/1F·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mister Bluebird (GB)
    Mason Paetel·Heather Main·beaten 1.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Philanthropist (GB)
    George Wood·James Fanshawe·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.25s+1.95s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Crimson Spirit (GB))

AI top-rated Metal Merchant (score 59.8) finished 13th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.059.8/100 rating
Metal Merchant
26.00Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way59.3/100 rating
Kisskodi
7.00Unibet
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Metal Merchant

Harry Davies · Brian Toomey · 6yo

59.8/100
+0.5 vs next best (59.3)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Brian Toomey: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    55d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    62average
    OR 90 · RPR 103 · TS 88 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    1weak
    Last 6: 9-0-0-0
MarketBest price 26.00 (Betfair Exchange) — 12th pick of 14 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
918
4yo · G · bh
36110
9-11921018454.0
8/1·9.00
SP
624
4yo · F · b
16506
9-1091963636.2
50/1·51.00
SP
12314
4yo · G · b
21100
9-09901026748.5
11/1·12.00
SP
7411
4yo · C · bbFT B
47650
9-09901008251.1
9/1·10.00
SP
457
6yo · G · cht
79500
9-09901068445.7
5/1·6.00
SP
1369
6yo · G · b
9000
9-09901038859.8
20/1·21.00
SP
14712
5yo · G · br
09300
9-08891038843.7
20/1·21.00
SP
183
5yo · G · b
44030
9-05861058245.3
4/1F·5.00
SP
10913
5yo · G · b
15163
9-04851016056.0
16/1·17.00
SP
2102
8yo · G · grp
23802
9-04851018548.4
8/1·9.00
SP
31110
4yo · G · bp
34671
9-04851037053.9
11/1·12.00
SP
8126
4yo · G · b
12555
9-01821018155.5
16/1·17.00
SP
5141
4yo · G · b
04153
9-00811039559.3
9/2·5.50
SP
11155
6yo · G · grtp
74897
8-087510242.6
80/1·81.00
SP
15
4yo · G · bb
60039
9-018210153.9

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 4:52 Goodwood on 22 May 2026?

Crimson Spirit (GB) won the 4:52 Goodwood at SP 5.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Daniel & Claire Kubler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 4:52 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Metal Merchant) finished 13.

What were the placings in the 4:52 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Crimson Spirit (GB) (5.00), 2. Mister Bluebird (GB) (9.00), 3. Philanthropist (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 4:52 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 26.25s, 1.95s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

With a resumption of progress plausible, KISSKODI (nap) is preferred. Walson's Law is second pick.

Racing Post pick: Kisskodi

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

9/2 Philanthropist, 6/1 Kisskodi, 7/1 Walson's Law, Oliver Show, 8/1 Shiplake, Crimson Spirit, Mister Bluebird, 12/1 Al Arbeed, Solar Aclaim, 14/1 The Dragon King, 16/1 Morte Point, 20/1 Fouette, Lunario, 25/1 Metal Merchant

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org