16:52 Goodwood

Edward Bulmer Natural Paint Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 14 runners · £10,468 · Friday, 22 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 13th

1st
Crimson Spirit (GB)
Ray Dawson·Daniel & Claire Kubler
4/1F·5.00
SP
2nd
Mister Bluebird (GB)
Mason Paetel·Heather Main·beaten 1.25 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP
3rd
Philanthropist (GB)
George Wood·James Fanshawe·beaten 1.25 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

1m 26.25s+1.95s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Crimson Spirit (GB))

“Prominent - switched left over 1f out - soon went second - led inside final 110yds - ran on well”

AI top-rated Metal Merchant (score 59.8) finished 13th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Kisskodi

With a resumption of progress plausible, KISSKODI (nap) is preferred. Walson's Law is second pick.

Forecast 9/2 Philanthropist, 6/1 Kisskodi, 7/1 Walson's Law, Oliver Show, 8/1 Shiplake, Crimson Spirit, Mister Bluebird, 12/1 Al Arbeed, Solar Aclaim, 14/1 The Dragon King, 16/1 Morte Point, 20/1 Fouette, Lunario, 25/1 Metal Merchant

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Metal Merchant

Harry Davies · Brian Toomey · 6yo

Top-rated of 14

score 59.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (59.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Brian Toomey: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
55d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
62average
OR 90 · RPR 103 · TS 88 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
1weak
Last 6: 9-0-0-0

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–5)

IV 1.15

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.07

High (11–15)

IV 0.77

Today: Kisskodi (draw 1) and Mister Bluebird (draw 2) get the bias; Walson's Law (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	8	Crimson Spirit J: Ray Dawson · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 3 5yo · G · b	44030	9-05	86	105	82	45.3	4/1F·5.00 SP
2	10	Mister Bluebird J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Heather Main · draw 2 8yo · G · grp	23802	9-04	85	101	85	48.4	8/1·9.00 SP
3	11	Philanthropist J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 10 4yo · G · bp	34671	9-04	85	103	70	53.9	11/1·12.00 SP
4	5	Oliver Show J: Jack Callan(3) · T: George Boughey · draw 7 6yo · G · cht	79500	9-09	90	106	84	45.7	5/1·6.00 SP
5	14	Kisskodi J: Cieren Fallon · T: Harry Eustace · draw 1 4yo · G · b	04153	9-00	81	103	95	59.3	9/2·5.50 SP
6	2	Fouette J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 4 4yo · F · b	16506	9-10	91	96	36	36.2	50/1·51.00 SP
7	4	Al Arbeed J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 11 4yo · C · bbFT B	47650	9-09	90	100	82	51.1	9/1·10.00 SP
8	12	The Dragon King J: Rob Hornby · T: Clive Cox · draw 6 4yo · G · b	12555	9-01	82	101	81	55.5	16/1·17.00 SP
9	1	Shiplake J: David Egan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 8 4yo · G · bh	36110	9-11	92	101	84	54.0	8/1·9.00 SP
10	9	Walson's Law J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 13 5yo · G · b	15163	9-04	85	101	60	56.0	16/1·17.00 SP
11	15	Lunario J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Luke Dace · draw 5 6yo · G · grtp	74897	8-08	75	102	—	42.6	80/1·81.00 SP
12	3	Morte Point J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 14 4yo · G · b	21100	9-09	90	102	67	48.5	11/1·12.00 SP
13	6	Metal Merchant J: Harry Davies · T: Brian Toomey · draw 9 6yo · G · b	9000	9-09	90	103	88	59.8	20/1·21.00 SP
14	7	Solar Aclaim J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 12 5yo · G · br	09300	9-08	89	103	88	43.7	20/1·21.00 SP
—	—	Rare Change J: NON-RUNNER · T: Richard Hughes · draw 15 4yo · G · bb	60039	9-01	82	101	—	53.9	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:52 Goodwood on 22 May 2026?

Crimson Spirit (GB) won the 16:52 Goodwood at SP 5.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Daniel & Claire Kubler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:52 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Metal Merchant) finished 13.

What were the placings in the 16:52 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Crimson Spirit (GB) (5.00), 2. Mister Bluebird (GB) (9.00), 3. Philanthropist (GB) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:52 Goodwood?

The winning time was 1m 26.25s, 1.95s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org