Who won the 15:45 Goodwood on 23 May 2026?
Mother Dear (GB) won the 15:45 Goodwood at SP 6.50. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by Hughie Morrison.
← All racecards15:45
Goodwood
Great BritainDarley British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
Saturday, 23 May 2026
1m2f·Flat·Class 2·Good·8 runners·£25,770
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stMother Dear (GB)Rob Hornby·Hughie Morrison11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndSt Hilda (IRE)AI top pick · 58.1David Probert·Marcus Tregoning·beaten .75 lengths100/30J·4.33SP
- 3rdGuesstimate (GB)Pat Dobbs·William Haggas·beaten 1.25 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
2m 9.00s+3.80s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Mother Dear (GB))
“Prominent - pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden inside final furlong - led inside final 110yds - kept on well”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.058.1/100 rating
St Hilda
5.80Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way58.1/100 rating
St Hilda
5.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
St Hilda
David Probert · Marcus Tregoning · 3yo
58.1/100
+2.1 vs next best (56.0)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong26d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 4-2
- Ratings50% weight59averageRPR 89 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight25weakMarcus Tregoning: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 5.80 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | 4 | 3yo · F · ch | 4453 | 9-02 | 74 | 82 | — | 47.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 7 | 2 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | 3 | 9-02 | — | 75 | 76 | 51.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP | |
| 8 | 3 | 5 | 3yo · F · ch | 3 | 9-02 | — | 77 | 65 | 52.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 3yo · F · b | 4 | 9-00 | — | 80 | — | 53.7 | 100/30J·4.33 SP | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 3yo · F · br | 3203 | 9-00 | 69 | 83 | — | 55.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 5 | 6 | 6 | 3yo · F · ch | 5 | 9-00 | — | 84 | — | 56.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 3yo · F · ch | 8 | 8-12 | — | 82 | 41 | 38.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 3yo · F · b | 42 | 8-12 | — | 89 | — | 58.1 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Goodwood?
No — the AI top pick (St Hilda) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Goodwood?
Top finishers: 1. Mother Dear (GB) (6.50), 2. St Hilda (IRE) (4.33), 3. Guesstimate (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Goodwood?
The winning time was 2m 9.00s, 3.80s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyWith improvement plausible, LADY MAGU may be able to reverse Lingfield placings with St Hilda who nevertheless warrants respect.
Racing Post pick: Lady Magu
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook9/4 Evening Fades, 11/4 St Hilda, 5/1 Lady Magu, 7/1 Guesstimate, 8/1 Triumph, 10/1 Cixi, 14/1 Mother Dear, 20/1 Kenkelly
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org