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15:15 York

William Hill Bronte Cup Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)

1m6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 7 runners · £56,710 · Saturday, 23 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/2F·1.50
  1. 1st
    Danielle (GB)AI top pick · 67.9
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden
    1/2F·1.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Miss Alpilles (GB)
    George Downing·Ed Walker·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Desert Spring (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Mario Baratti·beaten 1.75 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
3m 7.91s+11.31s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (Danielle (GB))

“Raced in second - increased tempo and led after 3f - going best 3f out - soon shaken up - ridden over 1f out - faced challenge inside final furlong - kept on well final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Danielle

The Gosdens' DANIELLE has clearly the best form and should take the beating if ready to roll after 196 days off.

Forecast 8/11 Danielle, 4/1 Miss Alpilles, 13/2 Lava Stream, 10/1 Desert Spring, 14/1 Miss Wong, 25/1 Rock N Roll Pinkie, 33/1 Tamam Desert

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Danielle

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 5yo

Top-rated of 7
score 67.9 · +1.9 clear of next best (66.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Ratings50% weight
    80strong
    OR 114 · RPR 125 · TS 119 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 2-4-5-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    John & Thady Gosden: 6/29 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    196d since last run (long absence)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — York 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.16
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.57
High (6–7)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Danielle
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 3
5yo · M · ch
2451
11467.9
1/2F·1.50
SP
24
Miss Alpilles
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 1
5yo · M · b
02113
9866.0
6/1·7.00
SP
32
Desert Spring
J: Connor Beasley · T: Mario Baratti · draw 6
4yo · F · gr
31644
9761.0
17/2·9.50
SP
43
Lava Stream
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
5yo · M · gr
12965
10049.4
10/1·11.00
SP
56
Rock N Roll Pinkie
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7
6yo · M · ch
32624
8452.5
33/1·34.00
SP
65
Miss Wong
J: Darragh Keenan · T: David Simcock · draw 2
4yo · F · b
11287
8552.9
18/1·19.00
SP
77
Tamam Desert
J: Oisin Orr · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 4
4yo · F · b
60007
8543.0
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 York on 23 May 2026?

Danielle (GB) won the 15:15 York at SP 1.50. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 York?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Danielle, won the race (AI score 67.9).

What were the placings in the 15:15 York?

Top finishers: 1. Danielle (GB) (1.50), 2. Miss Alpilles (GB) (7.00), 3. Desert Spring (GB) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 York?

The winning time was 3m 7.91s, 11.31s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org