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RacingAlpha

15:04 Leicester

Heather Small Plays Ladies' Day Saturday 4th July Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 25 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Grand Citadel (IRE)
    Grace McEntee·Micky Fenton
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mini Mac (IRE)
    Jack Dace·Jessica Macey·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Melissa Honey (GB)
    David Probert·Michael Herrington·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
1m 22.36s−0.04s vs std

On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.

In-running (Grand Citadel (IRE))

Took keen hold - pressed leader - ridden when hung right under 2f out - led 1f out - kept on

AI top-rated Back From Dubai (score 49.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Grand Citadel

Last year's winner GRAND CITADEL arrives on the back of a close second at Lingfield and gets the nod ahead of Back From Dubai.

Forecast 11/4 Grand Citadel, 9/2 Back From Dubai, 13/2 Melissa Honey, 7/1 Mini Mac, 10/1 Havana Mojito, Oh So Audacious, 12/1 Ravenglass, Edergole's Gift, Fitzmaurice, 14/1 Rokuni, 16/1 Blue Point Express

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Back From Dubai

Lewis Edmunds · Roy Bowring · 9yo

Top-rated of 11
score 49.4 · +6.0 clear of next best (43.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Roy Bowring: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 5-8-8-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 52 · RPR 67 · TS 52
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leicester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–11)
IV 0.81

Today: Melissa Honey (draw 6) and Havana Mojito (draw 5) get the bias; Grand Citadel (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 10
5yo · M · brb
494532
5237.8
11/4F·3.75
SP
28
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Jessica Macey · draw 7
4yo · G · bb
06084
5129.9
5/1·6.00
SP
37
4yo · F · b
40864
5137.9
6/1·7.00
SP
44
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Roy Bowring · draw 2
9yo · G · b
58831
5249.4
7/2·4.50
SP
51
J: Luke Morris · T: John Gallagher · draw 5
5yo · G · grp
78604
5534.6
9/1·10.00
SP
62
J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 1
7yo · G · bp
76447
5343.4
12/1·13.00
SP
710
J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3
4yo · G · b
05768
4742.0
16/1·17.00
SP
83
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Jack Jones · draw 11
7yo · M · b
63140
5331.0
22/1·23.00
SP
96
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Conrad Allen · draw 8
5yo · M · btp
206306
5233.0
28/1·29.00
SP
109
J: George Wood · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 9
4yo · F · b
16895
4835.5
50/1·51.00
SP
1111
J: Jason Watson · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 4
4yo · G · gr
03600
4640.9
12/1·13.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:04 Leicester on 25 May 2026?

Grand Citadel (IRE) won the 15:04 Leicester at SP 3.75. Ridden by Grace McEntee. Trained by Micky Fenton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:04 Leicester?

No — the AI top pick (Back From Dubai) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:04 Leicester?

Top finishers: 1. Grand Citadel (IRE) (3.75), 2. Mini Mac (IRE) (6.00), 3. Melissa Honey (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:04 Leicester?

The winning time was 1m 22.36s, on standard time.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org