Who won the 16:23 Brighton on 29 May 2026?
Dion Baker (IRE) won the 16:23 Brighton at SP 4.33. Ridden by Darragh Keenan. Trained by Michael Wigham.
16:23 Brighton
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7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 29 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stDion Baker (IRE)Darragh Keenan·Michael Wigham100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndZu Run (GB)Paddy Bradley·Mark Loughnane·beaten 2.75 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdMy Boy Harry (GB)Luke Morris·Jim & Suzi Best·beaten .5 lengths5/2J·3.50SP
Race time
1m 22.15s+3.45s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Dion Baker (IRE))
“Made all - pushed along 2f out - soon went clear - ridden inside final furlong - readily”
AI top-rated Kondratiev Wave (score 56.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Kondratiev Wave
Plenty of these are struggling for form but that comment doesn't apply to KONDRATIEV WAVE (nap), who continues to run with credit.
Forecast 7/4 My Boy Harry, 5/2 Kondratiev Wave, 4/1 Dion Baker, 9/1 Valsharah, 10/1 Zu Run, 20/1 Havana Joy, 25/1 Dalmally, Regal Guest
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kondratiev Wave
David Egan · Tony Carroll · 9yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.0 · +0.8 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight73strongLast 6: 2-3-1-4-2-2
- Trainer20% weight53averageTony Carroll: 9/43 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 57 · RPR 71 · TS 60
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Brighton 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.97
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.93
High (7–8)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 4 7yo · G · bp | 65744 | 47 | 34.3 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7 6yo · G · bp | 08569 | 52 | 35.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 560641 | 63 | 55.2 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: David Egan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2 9yo · G · chp | 231422 | 57 | 56.0 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jason Watson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 4yo · G · grt | 062460 | 51 | 29.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 87858 | 60 | 33.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charles Hills · draw 8 4yo · F · grtbFT TB | 33966 | 60 | 41.9 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: George Margarson · draw 1 4yo · G · bp | 75067 | 57 | 24.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Brighton?
No — the AI top pick (Kondratiev Wave) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:23 Brighton?
Top finishers: 1. Dion Baker (IRE) (4.33), 2. Zu Run (GB) (9.00), 3. My Boy Harry (GB) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:23 Brighton?
The winning time was 1m 22.15s, 3.45s slower than standard.
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