Who won the 15:40 Carlisle on 29 May 2026?
Ganthorpe (GB) won the 15:40 Carlisle at SP 7.50. Ridden by Lewis Chalkley. Trained by Michael & David Easterby.
15:40 Carlisle
Andersons - Proudly Local Since 1888 Handicap
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,402 · Friday, 29 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stGanthorpe (GB)Lewis Chalkley·Michael & David Easterby13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndAuspicious (GB)AI top pick · 51.2Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 0.3 lengths4/1C·5.00SP
- 3rdWhat A Tahoo (IRE)Cam Hardie·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths4/1C·5.00SP
Race time
1m 15.03s+5.13s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Ganthorpe (GB))
“Midfield on outer - switched left and ridden over 1f out - headway inside final furlong - led inside final 110yds - kept on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Only Dream Big
The in-form 7lb claimer Jake Dickson rides ONLY DREAM BIG (nap), who did well to finish fourth at Redcar, and she can get off the mark.
Forecast 5/2 Auspicious, 7/2 Only Dream Big, 4/1 What A Tahoo, 5/1 Kode Grey, 8/1 Ganthorpe, 12/1 Saxon Gem, 14/1 Saxon Grace, 20/1 Muddy Nora, 25/1 Ghadra, 66/1 Independent Angel
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Auspicious
Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 51.2 · +11.9 clear of next best (39.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 1-7-3-5-1
- Trainer20% weight58averageNigel Tinkler: 6/26 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52 · RPR 59 · TS 45
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.10
High (8–10)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Lewis Chalkley(7) · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 853557 | 47 | 38.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 17351 | 52 | 51.2 | 4/1C·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 3yo · F · ch | 94743 | 46 | 38.2 | 4/1C·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 93067 | 55 | 28.4 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 3yo · F · bb | 57784 | 54 | 33.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 765 | 49 | 39.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Shay Farmer(7) · T: Seb Spencer · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 9570 | 47 | 25.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 3yo · G · gr | 0963 | 50 | 34.0 | 4/1C·5.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4 3yo · F · bvFT V | 970 | 46 | 29.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 2 3yo · F · gr | 69400 | 46 | 24.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Auspicious) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Ganthorpe (GB) (7.50), 2. Auspicious (GB) (5.00), 3. What A Tahoo (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 15.03s, 5.13s slower than standard.
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