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15:00 Chepstow

Bill Lewtons 80th Birthday Novice Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £6,480 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Echo Of Stars (IRE)
    Jamie Spencer·Oliver Cole
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Blue Hercules (IRE)
    Lewis Edmunds·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 2.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    El Nay (IRE)AI top pick · 58.1
    Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 2.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
2m 7.54s+5.14s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Echo Of Stars (IRE))

“Took keen hold - raced in second - pushed along to lead over 2f out - drifted right and ridden over 1f out - kept on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Alfaraz

This looks a good opportunity for ALFARAZ, who brings a strong piece of Newbury form.

Forecast 4/7 Alfaraz, 7/2 Echo Of Stars, 9/2 El Nay, 10/1 Blue Hercules, 16/1 Kinetic Impact, 250/1 Strong Man Tom, Madame Dragon, Prophet Squeeze

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

El Nay

Sean Levey · Richard Hannon · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 58.1 · +1.6 clear of next best (56.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 86 · RPR 86 · TS 55
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Richard Hannon: 9/52 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.21
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–8)
IV 0.76

Today: Echo Of Stars (draw 1) and Alfaraz (draw 2) get the bias; El Nay (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Echo Of Stars
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Oliver Cole · draw 1
3yo · C · btFT T
424
8756.5
2/1·3.00
SP
25
Blue Hercules
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6
3yo · C · b
84
—43.3
14/1·15.00
SP
37
El Nay
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8
3yo · G · b
232
8658.1
7/2·4.50
SP
48
Kinetic Impact
J: Harry Vigors(7) · T: Charles Hills · draw 4
3yo · C · b
——21.5
22/1·23.00
SP
54
Alfaraz
J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
3yo · C · bhFT H
226
9053.7
10/11F·1.91
SP
61
Strong Man Tom
J: William Cox · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 5
4yo · G · b
6
—17.5
250/1·251.00
SP
73
Prophet Squeeze
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 3
8yo · M · bh
——21.5
250/1·251.00
SP
82
Madame Dragon
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Polly Gundry · draw 7
4yo · F · ch
——15.0
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Chepstow on 29 May 2026?

Echo Of Stars (IRE) won the 15:00 Chepstow at SP 3.00. Ridden by Jamie Spencer. Trained by Oliver Cole.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (El Nay) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Echo Of Stars (IRE) (3.00), 2. Blue Hercules (IRE) (15.00), 3. El Nay (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Chepstow?

The winning time was 2m 7.54s, 5.14s slower than standard.

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