Who won the 15:30 Chepstow on 29 May 2026?
On Edge (GB) won the 15:30 Chepstow at SP 5.00. Ridden by Gina Mangan. Trained by Christopher Mason.
15:30 Chepstow
3 Day Pass £30 DragonBet WRF Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 29 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stOn Edge (GB)Gina Mangan·Christopher Mason4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndCayman Tai (IRE)AI top pick · 54.4Seamus Cronin·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.3 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
- 3rdSo Smart (IRE)Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
58.29s+1.69s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (On Edge (GB))
“Raced in second - ridden 2f out - hung left over 1f out - led narrowly final 110yds - ran on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cayman Tai
The most obvious answer is CAYMAN TAI, who is 4lb well in under the penalty he carries for his comfortable AW success eight days ago.
Forecast 11/10 Cayman Tai, 4/1 So Smart, 5/1 In The City, Over Spiced, 10/1 On Edge
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cayman Tai
Seamus Cronin(5) · Richard Hannon · 4yo
Top-rated of 5
score 54.4 · +8.4 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 5-2-5-3-2-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73 · RPR 84 · TS 64
- Trainer20% weight43below averageRichard Hannon: 9/52 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–5)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 2 8yo · G · bv | 22218 | 73 | 42.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 4yo · G · gr | 525321 | 73 | 54.4 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 1 7yo · G · btp | 74653 | 60 | 41.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Grace Harris · draw 4 4yo · F · bp | 52155 | 70 | 45.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 23234 | 71 | 46.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Cayman Tai) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. On Edge (GB) (5.00), 2. Cayman Tai (IRE) (1.83), 3. So Smart (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Chepstow?
The winning time was 58.29s, 1.69s slower than standard.
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