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RacingAlpha

13:50 Chester

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 11 runners · £20,616 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Virtuous Star (IRE)
    David Nolan·Richard & Peter Fahey
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pure Grit (GB)AI top pick · 60.3
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.25 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Deputy Vice (IRE)
    Kaiya Fraser·Rebecca Menzies·beaten .75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 15.80s+3.70s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Virtuous Star (IRE))

Midfield - steady headway over 2f out - pressed leader inside final furlong - ridden to lead inside final 110yds - ran on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pure Grit

This looks a strong novice but preference among those with experience is for PURE GRIT ahead of This Moment and Caturra Lights.

Forecast 7/4 Pure Grit, 7/2 This Moment, 6/1 Caturra Lights, 8/1 Blake's Monarch, Virtuous Star, 12/1 Koodini, 16/1 Deputy Vice, Star People, 20/1 Metamouse, Moriarty Moon, 33/1 Dream On Kent, 66/1 Trust Havana

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Pure Grit

Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 60.3 · +0.8 clear of next best (59.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    RPR 87 · TS 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Andrew Balding: 7/49 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.38
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–12)
IV 0.69

Today: Blake's Monarch (draw 4) and Dream On Kent (draw 3) get the bias; Caturra Lights (draw 11) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
111
2yo · C · b
21.5
12/1·13.00
SP
28
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
2yo · C · b
2
60.3
EvensF·2.00
SP
33
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 1
2yo · C · b
17.0
11/1·12.00
SP
410
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 8
2yo · C · b
2
59.4
3/1·4.00
SP
59
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5
2yo · C · b
0
32.8
16/1·17.00
SP
61
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4
2yo · C · b
2
50.9
10/1·11.00
SP
77
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 6
2yo · C · ch
6
30.8
25/1·26.00
SP
84
J: Ray Dawson · T: David Evans · draw 3
2yo · G · b
27.5
33/1·34.00
SP
92
J: Barry McHugh · T: Adrian Paul Keatley · draw 11
2yo · C · ch
33
54.0
16/1·17.00
SP
1012
J: Gina Mangan · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 2
2yo · F · gr
15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
115
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 10
2yo · C · b
9
34.4
40/1·41.00
SP
J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 12
2yo · C · b
4
41.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:50 Chester on 30 May 2026?

Virtuous Star (IRE) won the 13:50 Chester at SP 13.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:50 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Pure Grit) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:50 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Virtuous Star (IRE) (13.00), 2. Pure Grit (GB) (2.00), 3. Deputy Vice (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:50 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 15.80s, 3.70s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org