Who won the 16:38 Chester on 30 May 2026?
Folk Pageant (GB) won the 16:38 Chester at SP 3.75. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Charlie Johnston.
← All racecards16:38
Chester
Great BritainGeneral Elliot Croft Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Saturday, 30 May 2026
1m2½f·Flat·Class 4·Good·10 runners·£7,731
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 11/4F·3.75Race report
- 1stFolk Pageant (GB)AI top pick · 57.6Hector Crouch·Charlie Johnston11/4F·3.75SP
- 2ndCrockham Heath (GB)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 1 length4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdHome Hero (IRE)Jason Hart·Hugo Palmer·beaten 3 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
2m 13.75s+6.05s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Folk Pageant (GB))
“Soon in touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - jockey dropped rein inside final furlong - ridden to lead inside final 110yds - kept on well”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.057.6/100 rating
Folk Pageant
4.80Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way57.6/100 rating
Folk Pageant
4.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Folk Pageant
Hector Crouch · Charlie Johnston · 3yo
57.6/100
+1.4 vs next best (56.3)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 2-1-9-1
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 74 · RPR 93 · TS 87 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight28weakCharlie Johnston: 5/45 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 4.80 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 6 | 3yo · G · b | 29560 | 9-09 | 82 | 90 | 41 | 43.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| 5 | 2 | 7 | 3yo · G · b | 114 | 9-09 | 82 | 89 | 66 | 51.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP | |
| 8 | 4 | 10 | 3yo · G · b | 15 | 9-08 | 81 | 86 | 58 | 49.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 4 | 5 | 11 | 3yo · C · b | 436 | 9-07 | 80 | 89 | 68 | 46.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 3yo · C · b | 0115 | 9-07 | 80 | 90 | 57 | 54.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3yo · F · b | 07921 | 9-05 | 78 | 93 | 78 | 53.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 6 | 8 | 9 | 3yo · F · b | 443 | 9-04 | 77 | 87 | 50 | 52.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP | |
| 1 | 9 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | 2191 | 9-01 | 74 | 93 | 87 | 57.6 | 11/4F·3.75 SP | |
| 3 | 10 | 2 | 3yo · G · ch | 644 | 8-13 | 72 | 87 | 50 | 43.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| 9 | 11 | 1 | 3yo · G · b | 96989 | 8-10 | 69 | 85 | 53 | 31.8 | 66/1·67.00 SP | |
| — | — | 8 | 3yo · G · b | 2114 | 9-08 | 81 | 90 | 64 | 56.3 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:38 Chester?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Folk Pageant, won the race (AI score 57.6).
What were the placings in the 16:38 Chester?
Top finishers: 1. Folk Pageant (GB) (3.75), 2. Crockham Heath (GB) (5.00), 3. Home Hero (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:38 Chester?
The winning time was 2m 13.75s, 6.05s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyNewmarket winner Folk Pageant is respected. Preference, though, is for eye-catching handicap debutants BEMERSYDE and Home Hero.
Racing Post pick: Bemersyde
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook3/1 Folk Pageant, 5/1 Mayaada, Crockham Heath, 7/1 Bemersyde, 15/2 Home Hero, 8/1 Timber Twelve, 9/1 Blue Noon, 11/1 Knowledge, 14/1 Gatehouse, 18/1 Advance Twentyfive, 66/1 Carwyn
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org