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RacingAlpha

13:15 Chester

Chester Roman Day Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 11 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Machadadorp (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Town Queen (IRE)AI top pick · 67.3
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K R Burke·beaten 1.75 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Imelda (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·David Loughnane·beaten 2 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.12s+4.02s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Machadadorp (GB))

“Midfield - headway over 1f out - ridden to lead inside final furlong - kept on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Town Queen

Karl Burke's TOWN QUEEN has shaped well when runner-up on both her runs this spring and holds the clear edge on form.

Forecast 6/4 Town Queen, 11/4 Lucky Luna, 4/1 Machadadorp, 9/2 Night Shining, 12/1 Imelda, 25/1 Elemma, Navona Grey, 33/1 Danrana, 100/1 Golden Mabel, Lc Tiffen, Tommie's Angel

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Town Queen

Pierre-Louis Jamin · K R Burke · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 67.3 · +14.6 clear of next best (52.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    K R Burke: 13/46 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    RPR 89 · TS 77 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.11
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.75
High (9–11)
IV 1.11

Today: Lucky Luna (draw 3) and Elemma (draw 2) get the bias; Town Queen (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 84 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Machadadorp
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8
3yo · F · b
6
—41.2
9/2·5.50
SP
211
Town Queen
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 6
3yo · F · b
22
—67.3
EvensF·2.00
SP
34
Imelda
J: Hector Crouch · T: David Loughnane · draw 11
3yo · F · b
23
—52.2
18/1·19.00
SP
49
Night Shining
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 5
3yo · F · gr
64
—52.7
6/1·7.00
SP
58
Navona Grey
J: Josephine Gordon · T: Gay Kelleway · draw 4
3yo · F · gr
——15.0
25/1·26.00
SP
66
Lucky Luna
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3
3yo · F · gr
4
—45.5
3/1·4.00
SP
72
Elemma
J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2
3yo · F · b
45
—36.2
80/1·81.00
SP
83
Golden Mabel
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 1
3yo · F · bh
8857
5530.1
250/1·251.00
SP
95
Lc Tiffen
J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 9
3yo · F · grh
5650
4424.1
300/1·301.00
SP
101
Danrana
J: Ray Dawson · T: Fionn McSharry · draw 7
3yo · F · b
48
—51.5
40/1·41.00
SP
1110
Tommie's Angel
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 10
3yo · F · b
47
—29.2
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:15 Chester on 30 May 2026?

Machadadorp (GB) won the 13:15 Chester at SP 5.50. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:15 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Town Queen) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 13:15 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Machadadorp (GB) (5.50), 2. Town Queen (IRE) (2.00), 3. Imelda (IRE) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 13:15 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 28.12s, 4.02s slower than standard.

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