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RacingAlpha

15:45 Thirsk

Enter ITV7 For Free Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 10 runners · £9,793 · Sunday, 31 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Alfred Wallace (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pikachu (GB)
    David Egan·Charlie Johnston·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Whispering Moon (GB)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 4.75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.32s+2.22s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Alfred Wallace (GB))

“Prominent - led over 2f out - edged left when ridden over 1f out - kept on well”

AI top-rated Sir Sirius (score 41.7) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Alfred Wallace

Ed Walker's ALFRED WALLACE made a promising start when fifth at Ascot and with this step up in trip looking a big plus he edges the vote

Forecast 3/1 Pikachu, 7/2 Alfred Wallace, 4/1 Rosberg, 5/1 High Hazard, 9/1 Fuel The Jet, 11/1 Leave The Bag In, 14/1 Sir Sirius, Whispering Moon, 25/1 Arc Vince, 33/1 Dave's Matey

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sir Sirius

Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 41.7 · +0.2 clear of next best (41.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    Kevin Ryan: 7/32 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    RPR 64 · TS 53
  • Form20% weight
    6weak
    Last 6: 9
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Rosberg (draw 9) and Dave's Matey (draw 10) get the bias; Sir Sirius (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Alfred Wallace
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
5
—40.2
5/2F·3.50
SP
27
Pikachu
J: David Egan · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5
2yo · C · b
——20.5
4/1·5.00
SP
310
Whispering Moon
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8
2yo · C · b
——20.5
18/1·19.00
SP
48
Rosberg
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 9
2yo · C · b
——27.5
6/1·7.00
SP
54
Fuel The Jet
J: Ray Dawson · T: Tom Clover · draw 4
2yo · C · b
——22.0
7/2·4.50
SP
69
Sir Sirius
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 3
2yo · C · b
9
—41.7
12/1·13.00
SP
76
Leave The Bag In
J: Mikey Sheehy · T: Adrian Paul Keatley · draw 6
2yo · C · ch
8
—41.5
8/1·9.00
SP
82
Arc Vince
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 7
2yo · C · b
——15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
95
High Hazard
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
2yo · C · b
——22.5
10/1·11.00
SP
103
Dave's Matey
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
2yo · C · b
0
—22.5
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 Thirsk on 31 May 2026?

Alfred Wallace (GB) won the 15:45 Thirsk at SP 3.50. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Sir Sirius) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:45 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Alfred Wallace (GB) (3.50), 2. Pikachu (GB) (5.00), 3. Whispering Moon (GB) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 26.32s, 2.22s slower than standard.

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