19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runners · £4,320 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/14F·1.07

1st
Mountain Cat (IRE)AI top pick · 73.8
Oisin Murphy·Saeed bin Suroor
1/14F·1.07
SP
2nd
Zabeel Small (IRE)
Luke Morris·James Tate·beaten 3.25 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP
3rd
Leopards Rock (GB)
David Probert·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.75 lengths
33/1·34.00
SP

Race time

1m 48.83s+2.53s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Mountain Cat (IRE))

“Made virtually all - ran on from 2f out - pushed out inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.07 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Mountain Cat

This should be straightforward for MOUNTAIN CAT following an easy debut success at Doncaster. Rogue Defence is next best.

Forecast 4/5 Mountain Cat, 4/1 Rogue Defence, 6/1 Zabeel Small, 7/1 Roi De Coeur, 10/1 Leopards Rock, 33/1 Arc At Her, 50/1 Rua Mor

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mountain Cat

Oisin Murphy · Saeed bin Suroor · 3yo

Top-rated of 6

score 73.8 · +23.5 clear of next best (50.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
Saeed bin Suroor: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
55average
RPR 82 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.96

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.12

High (6–7)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Mountain Cat J: Oisin Murphy · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 7 3yo · C · b	1	9-10	—	82	—	73.8	1/14F·1.07 SP
2	6	Zabeel Small J: Luke Morris · T: James Tate · draw 5 3yo · C · b	—	8-13	—	—	—	18.0	10/1·11.00 SP
3	4	Leopards Rock J: David Probert · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 3yo · G · b	—	9-03	—	—	—	17.0	33/1·34.00 SP
4	7	Arc At Her J: Kieren Fox · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 3yo · F · b	9	8-10	—	50	—	39.9	50/1·51.00 SP
5	1	Rua Mor J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Sam England · draw 2 4yo · G · ch	0	9-12	—	44	—	26.2	100/1·101.00 SP
6	5	Roi De Coeur J: Hollie Doyle · T: Marco Botti · draw 6 3yo · G · b	7	8-13	—	60	40	43.2	18/1·19.00 SP
—	—	Rogue Defence J: Robert Havlin · T: Jack Jones · draw 1 3yo · G · gr	1	9-08	—	71	51	50.3	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 May 2026?

Mountain Cat (IRE) won the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 1.07. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Saeed bin Suroor.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Mountain Cat, won the race (AI score 73.8).

What were the placings in the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Mountain Cat (IRE) (1.07), 2. Zabeel Small (IRE) (11.00), 3. Leopards Rock (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 48.83s, 2.53s slower than standard.

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