Who won the 17:05 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?
Fizzy Cristal (GB) won the 17:05 Newcastle (AW) at SP 12.00. Ridden by Warren Fentiman. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.
17:05 Newcastle (AW)
Book Northumberland Plate Day Tickets Fillies' Handicap
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,978 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stFizzy Cristal (GB)Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey11/1·12.00SP
- 2ndHen Party (IRE)AI top pick · 58.3Jason Hart·Ed Dunlop·beaten 0.3 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdConcert (GB)Connor Beasley·Jack Channon·beaten 1.25 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
Race time
1m 12.82s+2.12s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Fizzy Cristal (GB))
“Pressed leader - led over 2f out - ridden and faced challenge over 1f out - edged left final 110yds - kept on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Annie Edson Taylor
Phillip Makin's yard has been in decent form of late and ANNIE EDSON TAYLOR can add to the tally. Concert is next best.
Forecast 7/2 Annie Edson Taylor, 4/1 Concert, Hen Party, 6/1 Tashi Delek, Fizzy Cristal, 7/1 Maldevious, 10/1 Blue Nguru, 20/1 Perfect Price, 25/1 Too Much
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hen Party
Jason Hart · Ed Dunlop · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 58.3 · +4.5 clear of next best (53.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight73strongEd Dunlop: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 3-2-2-2-4
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 70 · RPR 72 · TS 57
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 3yo · F · gr | 34216 | 67 | 45.7 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 3 3yo · F · ch | 32224 | 70 | 58.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Jack Channon · draw 9 3yo · F · grt | 03640 | 70 | 38.5 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 47494 | 65 | 40.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5 3yo · F · bheFT HE | 028 | 68 | 44.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 4 5yo · M · btb | 12604 | 64 | 53.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Hollie Doyle · T: Archie Watson · draw 2 3yo · F · bp | 22417 | 69 | 47.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 6 3yo · F · chpFT P | 54879 | 59 | 35.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | 5 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: David Thompson · draw 1 6yo · M · brh | 09330 | 61 | 29.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Hen Party) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:05 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Fizzy Cristal (GB) (12.00), 2. Hen Party (IRE) (3.75), 3. Concert (GB) (2.62).
What was the winning time for the 17:05 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 12.82s, 2.12s slower than standard.
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