Who won the 14:30 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?
Edwardtheninth (GB) won the 14:30 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.50. Ridden by Kyle McHugh. Trained by Ruth Jefferson.
14:30 Newcastle (AW)
Celebrating 10 Years Of Tapeta At Newcastle Apprentice Handicap
2m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEdwardtheninth (GB)Kyle McHugh·Ruth Jefferson6/4F·2.50SP
- 2ndAngelardo (IRE)Conor Whiteley·Liam Bailey·beaten .75 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdNymphaea (GB)Alfie Redman·Jennie Candlish·beaten 1.25 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
3m 58.97s+28.57s vs std
Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.
In-running (Edwardtheninth (GB))
“Dwelt start - raced in last - headway on turn over 3f out - went second and ridden over 1f out - led final 110yds - ran on”
AI top-rated Lady Phoebe (score 50.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Edwardtheninth
This mark is surely wiithin range for EDWARDTHENINTH and there won't be any excuses today. Lady Phoebe is the obvious danger.
Forecast 7/4 Lady Phoebe, 3/1 Edwardtheninth, 5/1 Nymphaea, Star Of Jupiter, 6/1 Angelardo, 16/1 Stitching Wheel, 50/1 Ebendi
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Lady Phoebe
Jake Dickson(3) · Adam Nicol · 5yo
Top-rated of 7
score 50.9 · +9.8 clear of next best (41.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight64averageLast 6: 1-3-2-0-1
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)Adam Nicol: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 54 · RPR 64 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 2m½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.90
High (6–7)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Kyle McHugh(3) · T: Ruth Jefferson · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 33945 | 49 | 36.7 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Conor Whiteley · T: Liam Bailey · draw 5 4yo · G · gr | 721848 | 50 | 36.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Alfie Redman(3) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3 4yo · F · bp | 532964 | 48 | 40.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Jake Dickson(3) · T: Adam Nicol · draw 2 5yo · M · gr | 13201 | 54 | 50.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7 5yo · G · betb | 34462 | 46 | 40.4 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Zoe Lewis(5) · T: Chris Grant · draw 1 4yo · F · bt | 38677 | 55 | 30.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Matthew Lloyd Slater(3) · T: Andrew Wilson · draw 6 9yo · G · ch | 59777 | 45 | 41.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Lady Phoebe) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Edwardtheninth (GB) (2.50), 2. Angelardo (IRE) (6.00), 3. Nymphaea (GB) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 3m 58.97s, 28.57s slower than standard.
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