Who won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026?
Influential (IRE) won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
19:30 Kempton (AW)
Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)
1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 12 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stInfluential (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndBilly Mill (GB)Lewis Edmunds·Rod Millman·beaten 0.3 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdBubbles Wonky (IRE)Daniel Muscutt·Mark Pattinson·beaten .75 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 40.16s+2.86s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Influential (IRE))
“Pressed leader - led over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong”
AI top-rated Kaaranah (score 59.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Kaaranah
Plenty have claims but it might be worth sticking with the resurgent KAARANAH, who completed a double at Wolverhampton last month.
Forecast 11/4 Kaaranah, 9/2 Influential, 7/1 Lady Manzor, 8/1 Sant Alessio, Billy Mill, 9/1 Man Of Desert, 10/1 Bubbles Wonky, Freda, 16/1 American State, 20/1 Dannick, 25/1 Island Hero, Hour By Hour, 50/1 Somkiyr, 66/1 Cephalus
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kaaranah
David Egan · John Butler · 8yo
Top-rated of 12
score 59.3 · +2.3 clear of next best (57.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight68strongJohn Butler: 4/15 winners last 14d (27%)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 8-0-6-1-1
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 68 · RPR 86 · TS 65
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.05
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.17
High (11–14)
IV 0.80
Today: Influential (draw 9) and Freda (draw 8) get the bias; Kaaranah (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 55272 | 75 | 57.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 14 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 12 8yo · G · b | 886632 | 68 | 53.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 11 5yo · G · b | 97943 | 74 | 41.9 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 6 4yo · F · bp | 58644 | 75 | 43.2 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Pat Phelan · draw 8 4yo · F · ch | 2361 | 72 | 47.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 13 8yo · G · b | 80611 | 68 | 59.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 48705 | 70 | 42.6 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Andy Irvine · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 55328 | 72 | 39.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 9 | 13 | J: Joey Haynes · T: Chelsea Banham · draw 1 7yo · G · bb | 06908 | 68 | 34.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 01021 | 70 | 43.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 5 | J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 10 4yo · G · cht | 22607 | 72 | 37.9 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 12 | 7 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 54788 | 72 | 42.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Hollie Doyle · T: Heather Main · draw 14 4yo · G · b | 7279 | 73 | 35.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 71610 | 72 | 46.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Kaaranah) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Influential (IRE) (5.00), 2. Billy Mill (GB) (5.00), 3. Bubbles Wonky (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 40.16s, 2.86s slower than standard.
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