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Next · 11m18:22Lingfield (AW)

Unibet Support Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C & D) (GBB) (Div I)

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £4,320 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Spirit Of Saxony (IRE)
    Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Manly Fireball (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Richard Hughes·beaten .75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Chasse Patate (IRE)
    Hollie Doyle·Archie Watson·beaten 1.25 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.82s+2.62s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Spirit Of Saxony (IRE))

In touch with leaders - waiting for room 2f out - pushed along and headway over 1f out - ridden to lead final 110yds - ran on well

AI top-rated No Nay Data (score 55.9) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Spirit Of Saxony

Eve Johnson Houghton's SPIRIT OF SAXONY holds the clear edge on form and is taken to get off the mark on the back of a good Ascot fifth.

Forecast 5/2 Spirit Of Saxony, 4/1 Deported, 9/2 No Nay Data, 5/1 Drymee, 8/1 Manly Fireball, 9/1 Chasse Patate, 16/1 Hanaan, 20/1 Santiago Boy, Mythological Star, 50/1 Screen Actor

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

No Nay Data

David Egan · Tom Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 55.9 · +1.5 clear of next best (54.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    81d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    RPR 88 · TS 58
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Tom Clover: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.17
High (8–10)
IV 0.80

Today: No Nay Data (draw 5) and Screen Actor (draw 6) get the bias; Drymee (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · G · b
3255
8349.6
4/5F·1.80
SP
23
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
3yo · G · b
53237
7353.0
18/1·19.00
SP
310
J: Hollie Doyle · T: Archie Watson · draw 3
3yo · F · b
20.5
28/1·29.00
SP
42
J: Tom Marquand · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 1
3yo · G · b
4234
7854.3
16/5·4.20
SP
56
J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 8
3yo · G · b
7
34.3
125/1·126.00
SP
61
J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 5
3yo · F · b
21
55.9
7/1·8.00
SP
77
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 10
3yo · G · b
4
47.8
11/2·6.50
SP
88
3yo · G · b
15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
99
J: Robert Havlin · T: S Woods · draw 7
3yo · F · chFirst after wind op
22.0
50/1·51.00
SP
4
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 6
3yo · G · b/br
22.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) on 20 May 2026?

Spirit Of Saxony (IRE) won the 18:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.80. Ridden by Charles Bishop. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (No Nay Data) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Spirit Of Saxony (IRE) (1.80), 2. Manly Fireball (IRE) (19.00), 3. Chasse Patate (IRE) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 26.82s, 2.62s slower than standard.

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