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19:30 Kempton (AW)

Unibet Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 27 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/12F·1.08
  1. 1st
    Water To Wine (FR)AI top pick · 72.2
    Ryan Moore·John & Thady Gosden
    1/12F·1.08
    SP
  2. 2nd
    White Storm (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 11 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tripoli Flyer (IRE)
    Dougie Costello·Fergal O'Brien·beaten 3.75 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
Race time
2m 20.83s+3.73s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Water To Wine (FR))

“Dwelt start - took keen hold - made virtually all - shaken up and clear over 1f out - went further clear inside final furlong - won going away”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.08 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Water To Wine

It will be bitterly disappointing if WATER TO WINE can't defy a 7lb penalty given the impression he made on debut at Newbury last month.

Forecast 8/15 Water To Wine, 13/2 Humphrey, White Storm, 10/1 Tripoli Flyer, 14/1 Take A Chill Pill, 25/1 Noble Grace, Barrister, Surrey King, 50/1 Sandpyper, 66/1 Flag Of Eva, Emerald Reine, 100/1 Blue Birdie

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Water To Wine

Ryan Moore · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 72.2 · +24.8 clear of next best (47.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    39d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 8/31 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    RPR 92 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–12)
IV 0.83

Today: Take A Chill Pill (draw 6) and Barrister (draw 5) get the bias; Tripoli Flyer (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Water To Wine
J: Ryan Moore · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
3yo · C · b
1
—72.2
1/12F·1.08
SP
210
White Storm
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 3
3yo · G · gr
——20.0
11/2·6.50
SP
31
Tripoli Flyer
J: Dougie Costello · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 12
7yo · G · b
74
—41.3
20/1·21.00
SP
44
Barrister
J: Sam Hitchcott · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5
3yo · C · b
47
—44.3
25/1·26.00
SP
59
Take A Chill Pill
J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 6
3yo · C · bpFT P
55
—47.3
16/1·17.00
SP
65
Flag Of Eva
J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
6
—19.0
125/1·126.00
SP
72
Noble Grace
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 9
5yo · M · b
4
—34.8
66/1·67.00
SP
811
Blue Birdie
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8
3yo · F · b
8
—33.5
150/1·151.00
SP
912
Emerald Reine
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 7
3yo · F · b
77
—33.8
200/1·201.00
SP
107
Sandpyper
J: Ray Dawson · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 11
3yo · G · b
——25.0
66/1·67.00
SP
——
Humphrey
J: Tyler Heard · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 10
3yo · C · ch
——28.0—
——
Surrey King
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2
3yo · C · b
98
—39.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) on 27 May 2026?

Water To Wine (FR) won the 19:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.08. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Water To Wine, won the race (AI score 72.2).

What were the placings in the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Water To Wine (FR) (1.08), 2. White Storm (GB) (6.50), 3. Tripoli Flyer (IRE) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 20.83s, 3.73s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org