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RacingAlpha

15:15 Newcastle (AW)

Feature

JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

2m½f · Flat · Class 2 · Standard To Slow · 20 runners · £77,310 · Saturday, 27 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 14th
  1. 1st
    Align The Stars (IRE)
    Daniel Muscutt·Charlie Johnston
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Kirchner (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·James Owen·beaten 1.25 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Synergism (GER)
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
3m 33.75s+3.35s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Align The Stars (IRE))

Wide early but in touch - moved prominent after 2f - driven 3f out - went to the front over 1f out - went clear inside final furlong - asserted towards finish

AI top-rated Blazeon Five (score 71.4) finished 14th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Spirit Mixer

Last year's winner of this race, Spirit Mixer returns from a sound display in Listed company abroad — beaten just 3 lengths — and is well suited to 16f on any going; the 6lb weight rise from when he landed it is a minor concern. Moon Over Miami rates the chief threat, consistent and back at a trip that suits, though he too needs to find improvement on his last winning mark. Kirchner catches the eye on French form having appeared to need a stiffer test last time, and Ride The Thunder has run with consistency in defeat throughout. Spirit Mixer is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Blazeon Five

Callum Rodriguez · Alan King · 8yo

Top-rated of 20
score 71.4 · +9.1 clear of next best (62.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=7)
    Alan King: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 1-1-1-6-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    71d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 2m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)
IV 1.06
Mid (8–14)
IV 0.90
High (15–20)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 14
5yo · G · brp
04126
9758.0
10/1·11.00
SP
220
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 12
4yo · G · grp
43475
8955.0
17/2·9.50
SP
313
4yo · G · b
12531
9260.1
9/1·10.00
SP
412
J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 8
6yo · G · bt
79047
9246.4
18/1·19.00
SP
56
J: William Buick · T: S Woods · draw 17
4yo · C · b
16510
9451.2
9/1·10.00
SP
615
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 7
4yo · G · b
14423
9058.0
3/1F·4.00
SP
71
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 15
8yo · G · b
68215
10362.3
33/1·34.00
SP
818
J: N G McCullagh · T: A J Martin · draw 18
7yo · G · bt
70498
9041.5
18/1·19.00
SP
98
J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6
4yo · G · chtpFT TP
13115
9257.4
15/2·8.50
SP
103
J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
4yo · G · b
14650
9851.1
8/1·9.00
SP
1114
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 20
5yo · G · bp
334439
9051.9
25/1·26.00
SP
1211
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 13
6yo · G · b
53414
9261.8
25/1·26.00
SP
1316
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 19
5yo · G · b
61504
9054.1
12/1·13.00
SP
149
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Alan King · draw 3
8yo · M · b
11162
9271.4
22/1·23.00
SP
157
J: Dougie Costello · T: Ian Williams · draw 4
6yo · G · b
82409
9350.9
25/1·26.00
SP
1610
10yo · G · chp
4154
9251.0
80/1·81.00
SP
1717
J: Mikey Sheehy · T: Ian Williams · draw 11
8yo · G · gr
17639
9050.1
50/1·51.00
SP
1819
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Matt Crawley · draw 16
8yo · G · btpFT TP
42690
8942.0
100/1·101.00
SP
195
J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1
8yo · G · ch
14304
9560.1
18/1·19.00
SP
202
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5
8yo · G · b
66070
9842.3
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Newcastle (AW) on 27 June 2026?

Align The Stars (IRE) won the 15:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 11.00. Ridden by Daniel Muscutt. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Blazeon Five) finished 14.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Align The Stars (IRE) (11.00), 2. Kirchner (IRE) (9.50), 3. Synergism (GER) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 33.75s, 3.35s slower than standard.

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