Who won the 15:55 Curragh on 27 June 2026?
Estrange (IRE) won the 15:55 Curragh at SP 2.62. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by David O'Meara.
Paddy Power Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1)
1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · €235,600 · Saturday, 27 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEstrange (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara13/8·2.62SP
- 2ndOne Look (IRE)James Doyle·P Twomey·beaten 1.5 lengths18/1·19.00SP
- 3rdRed Letter (GB)Colin Keane·G M Lyons·beaten .5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
2m 2.89s−0.31s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
In-running (Estrange (IRE))
“Held up, 6th at halfway - moved to outer 2½f out - closed to dispute 2f out - led 1½f out - forged clear through final furlong - won comfortably”
AI top-rated Thundering On (score 76.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Estrange
Estrange has three wins in her last five starts, and her Group 3 success at Carlisle last month — where she asserted just enough off a slow pace — underlines her class at the top level; she handles this ground and holds a clear edge on our ratings. Thundering On is the chief danger: a dominant Group 1 winner at Epsom three weeks ago who showed a sharp burst of acceleration there, with quicker ground the single untested variable. Red Letter and Qilin Queen complete the dangers, both reliable and proven at this level. Estrange is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Thundering On
Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 76.5 · +3.4 clear of next best (73.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 4-2-2-1-1
- Ratings50% weight79strongOR 119 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight45below averageJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 11/60 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.13
High (8–10)
IV 0.78
Today: Thundering On (draw 7) and Estrange (draw 6) get the bias; Nyra (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 5yo · M · gr | 11221 | 116 | 73.1 | 13/8·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: James Doyle · T: P Twomey · draw 10 5yo · M · bp | 12394 | 109 | 57.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 3 4yo · F · gr | 11332 | 108 | 62.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 42211 | 119 | 76.5 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5 4yo · F · brvFT V | 46734 | 102 | 60.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 12886 | 107 | 59.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Shane Foley · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 4yo · F · ch | 81404 | — | 20.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 114026 | 105 | 55.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 32342 | 106 | 64.2 | — |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 3yo · F · ch | 36239 | 109 | 60.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:55 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Thundering On) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:55 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Estrange (IRE) (2.62), 2. One Look (IRE) (19.00), 3. Red Letter (GB) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:55 Curragh?
The winning time was 2m 2.89s, on standard time.
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