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RacingAlpha

16:35 Newbury

South Downs Water Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £7,328 · Monday, 1 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Naval Tribute (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·James Owen
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Baileys Khelstar (FR)
    Harry Davies·Charlie Johnston·beaten 3 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Personal Best (GB)AI top pick · 60.4
    Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
3m 24.91s+0.91s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Naval Tribute (GB))

In rear - pushed along and headway over 3f out - pressed winner over 2f out - led over 1f out - soon ridden and hung left - stayed on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Naval Tribute

The vote goes to NAVAL TRIBUTE (nap) who has finished first and second in two starts since switched to Flat turf with the visor added.

Forecast 11/4 Naval Tribute, 7/2 Personal Best, Calvert, 7/1 Baileys Khelstar, John Galt, Now The Eagle, 9/1 Vaguely Royal, 20/1 Barenboim

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Personal Best

Rob Hornby · Jonathan Portman · 4yo

Top-rated of 8
score 60.4 · +2.1 clear of next best (58.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 5-4-2-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 78 · RPR 93 · TS 81 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Jonathan Portman: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 2m

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.88
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–8)
IV 1.06

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 25 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 4
5yo · G · bv
561712
7555.7
5/4F·2.25
SP
22
J: Harry Davies · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6
6yo · G · b
27024
7845.4
18/1·19.00
SP
31
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 7
4yo · F · b
54224
7860.4
5/1·6.00
SP
45
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Roger Teal · draw 3
5yo · G · b
44423
7358.3
9/2·5.50
SP
56
J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5
4yo · G · btp
445321
7345.3
33/1·34.00
SP
67
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Ian Williams · draw 2
6yo · G · brp
669333
6745.4
15/2·8.50
SP
78
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Luke Dace · draw 1
4yo · G · ch
78122
6746.7
13/2·7.50
SP
83
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 8
8yo · G · bp
41269
7749.9
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:35 Newbury on 1 June 2026?

Naval Tribute (GB) won the 16:35 Newbury at SP 2.25. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:35 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Personal Best) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:35 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Naval Tribute (GB) (2.25), 2. Baileys Khelstar (FR) (19.00), 3. Personal Best (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:35 Newbury?

The winning time was 3m 24.91s, 0.91s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org