14:15 Newbury

Get 100/1 On England At BetVictor EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

6½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 1 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Aperoll (GB)
Pat Dobbs·Richard Hannon
9/4F·3.25
SP
2nd
Scommessa Sicura (IRE)AI top pick · 56.9
Rob Hornby·Andrew Balding·beaten 1 length
3/1·4.00
SP
3rd
Eabha (IRE)
Charles Bishop·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten 1.25 lengths
18/1·19.00
SP

Race time

1m 17.94s+1.24s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Aperoll (GB))

“Took keen hold - pressed leaders - pushed along 2f out - led and ridden 1f out - soon edged right - ran on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Attack Attack

Some interesting newcomers on show. ATTACK ATTACK is preferred to Enhancing as things stand but the betting should provide clues.

Forecast 3/1 Scommessa Sicura, 5/1 Bai Tong, 6/1 Wintour, 7/1 Attack Attack, Enhancing, 8/1 Aperoll, Please Don't Go, 16/1 Eabha, Tall Trees, 20/1 Desert Sands, 25/1 Avalon Queen, Goblet

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Scommessa Sicura

Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding · 2yo

Top-rated of 12

score 56.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (56.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
19d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 2
Ratings50% weight
50below average
RPR 78 · TS 71 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
33weak
Andrew Balding: 7/52 winners last 14d (13%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 6½f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.99

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.16

High (9–12)

IV 0.86

Today: Scommessa Sicura (draw 7) and Aperoll (draw 5) get the bias; Attack Attack (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Aperoll J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 2yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.5	9/4F·3.25 SP
2	10	Scommessa Sicura J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 2yo · F · b	2	9-02	—	78	71	56.9	3/1·4.00 SP
3	6	Eabha J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 8 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.0	18/1·19.00 SP
4	3	Avalon Queen J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Roger Teal · draw 4 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	22/1·23.00 SP
5	11	Tall Trees J: Cieren Fallon · T: Brian Meehan · draw 12 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	27.5	40/1·41.00 SP
6	5	Desert Sands J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ismail Mohammed · draw 1 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.0	16/1·17.00 SP
7	4	Bai Tong J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 2 2yo · F · b	52	9-02	—	79	52	56.2	12/1·13.00 SP
8	7	Enhancing J: David Egan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	22.5	8/1·9.00 SP
9	12	Wintour J: Harry Davies · T: Clive Cox · draw 11 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	23.5	20/1·21.00 SP
10	9	Please Don't Go J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 3 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	23.5	4/1·5.00 SP
11	2	Attack Attack J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 9 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.5	16/1·17.00 SP
12	8	Goblet J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 10 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	80/1·81.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Newbury on 1 June 2026?

Aperoll (GB) won the 14:15 Newbury at SP 3.25. Ridden by Pat Dobbs. Trained by Richard Hannon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Scommessa Sicura) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Aperoll (GB) (3.25), 2. Scommessa Sicura (IRE) (4.00), 3. Eabha (IRE) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Newbury?

The winning time was 1m 17.94s, 1.24s slower than standard.

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