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19:50 Ffos Las

New Thomas Arms Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 4 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Willow Wood (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
    16/5·4.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Reem Rak (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 3.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mick The Hat (IRE)
    Jack Dace·Ralph Beckett·beaten .75 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
Race time
2m 38.68s+8.68s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Willow Wood (IRE))

In touch with leaders on outer - headway over 3f out - led 2f out - ridden over 1f out - clear inside final furlong - easily

AI top-rated Salkadan (score 66.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Reem Rak

It might pay give another chance to REEM RAK who ran a long way below market expectations on her handicap debut.

Forecast 3/1 Brave Leader, 4/1 Kelly Burn, Mick The Hat, 9/2 Salkadan, 6/1 Willow Wood, 9/1 Reem Rak, 14/1 Al's River, Aravalli, 33/1 Eze Sur Mer

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Salkadan

David Probert · Dan Skelton · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 66.5 · +12.2 clear of next best (54.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Dan Skelton: 11/26 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 7-6-7-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 68 · RPR 80 · TS 71 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.01
High (7–9)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 9
3yo · F · br
6454
6547.5
16/5·4.20
SP
21
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
7230
7041.6
11/1·12.00
SP
39
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7
3yo · G · b
586
5537.7
13/2·7.50
SP
44
J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Tom Ward · draw 6
3yo · G · b
6456
6741.5
10/1·11.00
SP
52
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4
3yo · F · b
93521
6954.3
13/8F·2.62
SP
67
3yo · F · ch
4406
6442.1
28/1·29.00
SP
73
J: David Probert · T: Dan Skelton · draw 3
3yo · G · b
76721
6866.5
7/1·8.00
SP
86
J: George Wood · T: James Horton · draw 8
3yo · G · bbFT B
74364
6539.3
16/1·17.00
SP
98
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 1
3yo · F · b
744
6254.0
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:50 Ffos Las on 4 June 2026?

Willow Wood (IRE) won the 19:50 Ffos Las at SP 4.20. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:50 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Salkadan) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:50 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Willow Wood (IRE) (4.20), 2. Reem Rak (IRE) (12.00), 3. Mick The Hat (IRE) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 19:50 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 2m 38.68s, 8.68s slower than standard.

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