18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:40 Epsom

Betfred Diomed Stakes (Group 3)

1m½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £70,888 · Friday, 5 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Seagulls Eleven (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Hugo Palmer
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Persica (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 0.05 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Boiling Point (IRE)AI top pick · 71.9
    Clifford Lee·K R Burke·beaten 2 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 46.74s+3.54s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Seagulls Eleven (IRE))

“Took keen hold - pressed leader - switched to near side over 2f out - ridden and pressed leader over 1f out - led final strides”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Qirat

Epsom looks likely to suit QIRAT who, on favourable terms, is a very interesting alternative to last year's winner Persica.

Forecast 9/4 Persica, 4/1 Seagulls Eleven, 5/1 Boiling Point, Ice Max, 8/1 Qirat, 10/1 Chancellor, Skukuza, 20/1 Royal Playwright

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Boiling Point

Clifford Lee · K R Burke · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 71.9 · +3.1 clear of next best (68.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    77strong
    Last 6: 2-1-4-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    73strong
    OR 113 · RPR 125 · TS 91
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    K R Burke: 10/50 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.87
High (7–8)
IV 1.14

Today: Seagulls Eleven (draw 8) and Royal Playwright (draw 7) get the bias; Boiling Point (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Seagulls Eleven
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8
4yo · G · ch
18021
11265.6
5/2F·3.50
SP
24
Persica
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1
5yo · G · ch
56084
11263.1
11/4·3.75
SP
31
Boiling Point
J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 4
5yo · H · b
21431
11371.9
11/2·6.50
SP
43
Ice Max
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 6
5yo · G · gr
11536
11064.0
6/1·7.00
SP
56
Royal Playwright
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
4yo · C · b
53153
10658.7
14/1·15.00
SP
68
Skukuza
J: Ryan Moore · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 5
5yo · H · b
43456
11054.4
14/1·15.00
SP
75
Qirat
J: Colin Keane · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
5yo · G · ch
15704
11253.9
12/1·13.00
SP
82
Chancellor
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 3
4yo · G · bp
12125
10968.8
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:40 Epsom on 5 June 2026?

Seagulls Eleven (IRE) won the 14:40 Epsom at SP 3.50. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Hugo Palmer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Boiling Point) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:40 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Seagulls Eleven (IRE) (3.50), 2. Persica (IRE) (3.75), 3. Boiling Point (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:40 Epsom?

The winning time was 1m 46.74s, 3.54s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org