Who won the 15:40 Musselburgh on 5 June 2026?
Poet's Dawn (GB) won the 15:40 Musselburgh at SP 6.00. Ridden by Sean Kirrane. Trained by Tim Easterby.
15:40 Musselburgh
Keith Mitchell Law Accountants Handicap
1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 8 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 5 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stPoet's Dawn (GB)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndAmidst The Chaos (IRE)Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 1 length13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdMayor Of Maghera (GB)Andrew Mullen·R Mike Smith·beaten 0.3 lengths40/1·41.00SP
Race time
1m 52.19s+2.29s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Poet's Dawn (GB))
“Led narrowly - headed 5f out - rallied and sustained duel with runner-up from 2f out - led again 1f out - kept on final 110yds - gamely”
AI top-rated Detective (score 55.1) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Amidst The Chaos
This can go to C&D winner AMIDST THE CHAOS (nap), who enountered traffic when making the frame on his last two appearances.
Forecast 9/4 Amidst The Chaos, 11/4 Starliner, 11/2 Poet's Dawn, 6/1 Dingwall, 7/1 Union Island, 14/1 Detective, 16/1 Motawaared, 25/1 Mayor Of Maghera
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Detective
Aiden Brookes · Dianne Sayer · 10yo
Top-rated of 8
score 55.1 · +2.2 clear of next best (53.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=3)Dianne Sayer: 2/3 winners last 14d (67%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong18d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 59 · RPR 78 · TS 59
- Form20% weight17weakLast 6: 8-2-6-9-0
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m1f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.98
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.19
High (7–8)
IV 0.85
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 28 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 11yo · G · chp | 44914 | 65 | 44.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 4yo · G · ch | 57934 | 66 | 51.0 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: R Mike Smith · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 5664 | 61 | 29.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 147015 | 65 | 41.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1 5yo · G · bh | 222276 | 63 | 53.0 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 76777 | 65 | 41.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 2 10yo · G · bb | 82690 | 59 | 55.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Linda Perratt · draw 3 5yo · G · br | 054193 | 64 | 38.8 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Detective) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Poet's Dawn (GB) (6.00), 2. Amidst The Chaos (IRE) (2.62), 3. Mayor Of Maghera (GB) (41.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 1m 52.19s, 2.29s slower than standard.
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