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16:53 Carlisle

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1m1f · Flat · Class 5 · Soft · 11 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 8 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Amancio (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Faye Bramley
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Star Cast (GB)
    Rowan Scott·Gemma Tutty·beaten 0.1 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Runninsonofagun (IRE)
    Amie Waugh·Tristan Davidson·beaten 1.75 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 59.26s+5.26s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Amancio (GB))

“Prominent - going best over 2f out - ridden and led over 1f out - briefly headed inside final 110yds - rallied and led again final strides - gamely”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Amancio

Lambourn raider AMANCIO (nap) is taken to build on his reappearance effort and make the long trek to Carlisle prove fruitful.

Forecast 7/2 Amancio, 4/1 Krissy, Star Cast, 15/2 King Of Fury, 11/1 Redarna, 12/1 Sound Janet, Concert Boy, 16/1 Cosmos Raj, Runninsonofagun, 20/1 Pink Azalea, Titainium, Skinny Malinka, Yermanthere

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Style Of Life

NON-RUNNER · Harriet Bethell · 6yo

Top-rated of 11
score 63.7 · +8.2 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Harriet Bethell: 2/2 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 1-1-2-5-0
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m1f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.31
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.89
High (11–14)
IV 0.75

Today: Style Of Life (draw 1) and Krissy (draw 2) get the bias; Titainium (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Connor Beasley · T: Faye Bramley · draw 5
5yo · G · bt
8153
7547.4
2/1F·3.00
SP
210
J: Rowan Scott · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 9
4yo · F · b
163113
7049.9
100/30·4.33
SP
313
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 8
4yo · G · b
32308
6042.5
18/1·19.00
SP
45
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 7
6yo · G · ch
26765
7249.4
5/1·6.00
SP
512
J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 14
8yo · G · ch
04550
6542.4
6/1·7.00
SP
66
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 3
12yo · G · chp
14006
7252.5
8/1·9.00
SP
73
J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 13
8yo · G · bp
07095
7440.2
28/1·29.00
SP
88
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 12
5yo · G · gr
74157
7050.5
12/1·13.00
SP
97
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 11
4yo · F · b
10890
7131.6
22/1·23.00
SP
1014
J: Greg Fairley · T: Katie Scott · draw 4
6yo · G · bb
355264
6043.5
40/1·41.00
SP
1111
J: Jamie Gormley · T: Noel Wilson · draw 10
5yo · G · b
25423
6736.6
80/1·81.00
SP
——
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 1
6yo · M · bt
11250
7563.7—
——
J: · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6
4yo · F · bFirst after wind op
52250
7248.9—
——
J: · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
5yo · M · b
712110
7055.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:53 Carlisle on 8 June 2026?

Amancio (GB) won the 16:53 Carlisle at SP 3.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Faye Bramley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:53 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Style Of Life) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:53 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Amancio (GB) (3.00), 2. Star Cast (GB) (4.33), 3. Runninsonofagun (IRE) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:53 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 59.26s, 5.26s slower than standard.

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