16:50 Yarmouth

Royal Ascot On Sky Sports Racing Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 11 runners · £5,653 · Wednesday, 10 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/2·5.50

1st
Cavolo Nero (GB)AI top pick · 69.2
Jonny Peate·James Ferguson
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Carron (IRE)
Zac Lloyd·George Boughey·beaten 0.3 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP
3rd
Sprightly Dance (IRE)
Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian·beaten 5 lengths
3/1F·4.00
SP

Race time

1m 37.72s+3.82s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sprightly Dance

The drop back to a mile could suit SPRIGHTLY DANCE and Mythical Guest (second choice) may put his poor return behind him.

Forecast 9/4 Sprightly Dance, 9/2 Cavolo Nero, 11/2 Padua, 10/1 Renewal, 11/1 Advancing, 12/1 Carron, Mythical Guest, Percival, Gorgeous Mr George, 14/1 Bella Perla, 16/1 Where's Freddy

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cavolo Nero

Jonny Peate · James Ferguson · 4yo

Top-rated of 11

score 69.2 · +11.3 clear of next best (57.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
James Ferguson: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
46d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
58average
OR 85 · RPR 98 · TS 80
Form20% weight
58average
Last 6: 4-3-2-3-4

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.08

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.02

High (9–11)

IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Cavolo Nero J: Jonny Peate · T: James Ferguson · draw 5 4yo · G · bbFT B	43234	9-09	85	98	80	69.2	9/2·5.50 SP
2	5	Carron J: Zac Lloyd · T: George Boughey · draw 9 4yo · G · bt	36108	9-09	85	96	66	47.5	13/2·7.50 SP
3	4	Sprightly Dance J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 4yo · F · bh	214	9-09	85	98	62	49.0	3/1F·4.00 SP
4	10	Where's Freddy J: Cieren Fallon · T: Stuart Williams · draw 11 6yo · G · chtp	38300	9-03	79	100	93	43.7	18/1·19.00 SP
5	9	Renewal J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 4yo · F · b	3220	9-04	80	97	56	49.4	20/1·21.00 SP
6	7	Percival J: George Wood · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 8 4yo · G · bhFT H	1450	9-08	84	94	—	45.8	33/1·34.00 SP
7	2	Bella Perla J: Jason Watson · T: Tom Clover · draw 3 4yo · F · ch	91139	9-09	85	95	59	53.9	16/1·17.00 SP
8	11	Gorgeous Mr George J: Josephine Gordon · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 2 4yo · G · ch	22888	8-13	75	100	77	46.7	11/2·6.50 SP
9	6	Mythical Guest J: J F Egan · T: George Margarson · draw 10 6yo · G · b	48230	9-08	84	97	85	45.2	10/1·11.00 SP
10	1	Advancing J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	441006	9-09	85	96	75	47.7	5/1·6.00 SP
11	8	Padua J: Harry Davies · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 7 4yo · G · b	5414	9-05	81	95	66	57.9	14/1·15.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:50 Yarmouth on 10 June 2026?

Cavolo Nero (GB) won the 16:50 Yarmouth at SP 5.50. Ridden by Jonny Peate. Trained by James Ferguson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Yarmouth?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Cavolo Nero, won the race (AI score 69.2).

What were the placings in the 16:50 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Cavolo Nero (GB) (5.50), 2. Carron (IRE) (7.50), 3. Sprightly Dance (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:50 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 37.72s, 3.82s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org