Who won the 17:15 Newbury on 11 June 2026?
Mythical Bay (IRE) won the 17:15 Newbury at SP 1.91. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.
17:15 Newbury
White Horse International Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £7,328 · Thursday, 11 June 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stMythical Bay (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding10/11F·1.91SP
- 2ndGlenna (IRE)Pierre-Louis Jamin·Tom Ward·beaten 4 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdBarrister (GB)Sam Hitchcott·Richard Hannon·beaten 4 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
2m 35.84s+5.44s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.91 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Hard To Believe
Hector Crouch · Andrew Balding · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.3 · +0.2 clear of next best (56.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 6-1-1-7
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight40below averageAndrew Balding: 9/56 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.15
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.91
High (7–8)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 72123 | 80 | 56.1 | 10/11F·1.91 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Ward · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 44545 | 67 | 39.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Sam Hitchcott · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 3yo · C · b | 474 | 70 | 52.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: David Probert · T: John Butler · draw 5 3yo · C · ch | 31673 | 74 | 48.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 1 3yo · F · bb | 43342 | 68 | 50.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 8 3yo · C · bh | 883 | 72 | 41.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 3 3yo · G · chpFT P | 62566 | 73 | 44.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Hector Crouch · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 6117 | 80 | 56.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Hard To Believe) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 17:15 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Mythical Bay (IRE) (1.91), 2. Glenna (IRE) (9.00), 3. Barrister (GB) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:15 Newbury?
The winning time was 2m 35.84s, 5.44s slower than standard.
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