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RacingAlpha

18:39 Goodwood

Highclere Castle Gin Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 8 runners · £8,191 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Appier (IRE)
    Neil Callan·Tony Carroll
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cruden (GB)AI top pick · 64.3
    Jack Mitchell·Dan Horsford·beaten 3.25 lengths
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Aggagio (FR)
    Tom Queally·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten 8 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
3m 13.37s+13.67s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Cruden

Jack Mitchell · Dan Horsford · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 64.3 · +8.9 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    Dan Horsford: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 2-5-2-5
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Goodwood 1m6f

full course data →

Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.29).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.04
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.29
High (7–8)
IV 0.70

Today: Aggagio (draw 6) and Expressionless (draw 5) get the bias; Mr Freedom (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Neil Callan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2
7yo · G · b
132306
7348.6
12/1·13.00
SP
24
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Dan Horsford · draw 1
5yo · G · bp
2525
7864.3
11/4F·3.75
SP
32
J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 6
8yo · G · b
15345
8050.1
3/1·4.00
SP
46
4yo · F · chp
616348
7442.3
11/2·6.50
SP
51
J: George Bass · T: Sheena West · draw 7
7yo · G · bp
11653
8246.2
4/1·5.00
SP
63
J: Rob Hornby · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 3
7yo · G · bt
22209
7955.5
22/1·23.00
SP
75
J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 4
6yo · G · bb
78402
7642.8
17/2·9.50
SP
87
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 5
6yo · G · bp
43103
7346.0
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:39 Goodwood on 12 June 2026?

Appier (IRE) won the 18:39 Goodwood at SP 13.00. Ridden by Neil Callan. Trained by Tony Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:39 Goodwood?

No — the AI top pick (Cruden) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:39 Goodwood?

Top finishers: 1. Appier (IRE) (13.00), 2. Cruden (GB) (3.75), 3. Aggagio (FR) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:39 Goodwood?

The winning time was 3m 13.37s, 13.67s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org