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RacingAlpha

16:00 Chester

John Smith's Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £12,885 · Saturday, 13 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00
  1. 1st
    Tricky Tel (GB)AI top pick · 57.5
    David Probert·Hugo Palmer
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Atomic Force (IRE)
    P J McDonald·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Vintage Clarets (GB)
    Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 2.43s+3.43s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Tricky Tel

David Probert · Hugo Palmer · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 57.5 · +0.5 clear of next best (56.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 5-7-4-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    OR 84
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Hugo Palmer: 5/35 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.38
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.89
High (8–10)
IV 0.69

Today: Tricky Tel (draw 3) and Atomic Force (draw 2) get the bias; Al Hussar (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3
3yo · G · b
57431
8457.5
3/1F·4.00
SP
21
J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2
7yo · G · ch
71103
9353.4
11/2·6.50
SP
32
7yo · G · b
00702
8647.0
4/1·5.00
SP
49
J: Harry Russell · T: Antony Brittain · draw 7
4yo · G · chp
52800
7937.7
25/1·26.00
SP
54
J: George Wood · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 8
6yo · G · bh
20261
8452.9
11/1·12.00
SP
65
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Grant Tuer · draw 9
4yo · G · brb
343251
8356.9
8/1·9.00
SP
76
J: Zak Wheatley(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1
6yo · G · ch
95018
8143.9
4/1·5.00
SP
83
4yo · F · btpFT TP
40464
8545.8
12/1·13.00
SP
98
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
12yo · G · bt
02106
8045.1
22/1·23.00
SP
107
J: Rowan Scott · T: David Loughnane · draw 6
4yo · G · bpFT P
00540
8048.8
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Chester on 13 June 2026?

Tricky Tel (GB) won the 16:00 Chester at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Hugo Palmer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Chester?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Tricky Tel, won the race (AI score 57.5).

What were the placings in the 16:00 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Tricky Tel (GB) (4.00), 2. Atomic Force (IRE) (6.50), 3. Vintage Clarets (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 2.43s, 3.43s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org