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RacingAlpha

17:12 Chester

Summer Saturday On 27th June Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 13 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Shipshape (IRE)
    David Probert·Bernard Llewellyn
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Helmsley (IRE)
    Sean D Bowen·Ivan Furtado·beaten .75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Newtown Duke (IRE)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Ian Williams·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 48.37s+13.77s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

AI top-rated Free Speech (score 61.0) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Free Speech

P J McDonald · Sam England · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 61.0 · +1.6 clear of next best (59.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Sam England: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 2-9-3-6-2
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 1m4½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.80
High (9–12)
IV 0.79

Today: Idyllic (draw 1) and Helmsley (draw 4) get the bias; Free Speech (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 77 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: David Probert · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 12
4yo · G · bp
52121
7159.5
4/1·5.00
SP
23
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 4
4yo · F · btFT T
86676
7444.3
100/30·4.33
SP
36
J: Ryan Kavanagh(5) · T: Ian Williams · draw 2
5yo · G · bt
78413
7244.1
9/4F·3.25
SP
410
6yo · G · bp
244234
6443.1
17/2·9.50
SP
52
J: Robbie Downey · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 6
6yo · G · b
1950
7542.0
66/1·67.00
SP
612
J: Luke Morris · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7
4yo · G · bp
443322
6144.3
28/1·29.00
SP
71
5yo · G · b
0195
8147.3
10/1·11.00
SP
84
J: P J McDonald · T: Sam England · draw 10
5yo · M · ch
29362
7461.0
4/1·5.00
SP
——
J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 11
8yo · G · chp
278414
7348.7—
——
J: George Wood · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 3
4yo · G · b
263306
6743.1—
——
J: Zak Wheatley(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 5
4yo · G · b
57536
7140.2—
——
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Wilf Storey · draw 1
5yo · M · grhFT HFirst after wind op
14766
6345.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:12 Chester on 13 June 2026?

Shipshape (IRE) won the 17:12 Chester at SP 5.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Bernard Llewellyn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:12 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Free Speech) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 17:12 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Shipshape (IRE) (5.00), 2. Helmsley (IRE) (4.33), 3. Newtown Duke (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 17:12 Chester?

The winning time was 2m 48.37s, 13.77s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org