15:25 Newmarket

Feature

Betway Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 11 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Aalto (FR)
William Buick·Ian Williams
4/1F·5.00
SP
2nd
Back In Black (IRE)
Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe·beaten .5 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP
3rd
Elarak (GB)
Billy Loughnane·Charles Hills·beaten 0.3 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP

Race time

1m 24.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Aalto (FR))

“hampered for room at the start - travelled down the middle of the track - settled towards the back - drifted left while improving 1f out and stayed on strongly to hit the front inside the final furlong”

AI top-rated Dark Tornado (score 68.2) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 18.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.8/100 rating

Back In Black

7.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Elarak

Elarak shares the top rating with Two Tribes but gets the nod as our selection on a more progressive profile. Royal Zabeel, Two Tribes and Great Acclaim all pose respected danger in this competitive Class 2 contest. With ratings closely bunched through the field, confidence in the pick is low.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dark Tornado

J F Egan · Michael Wigham · 5yo

Top-rated of 15

score 68.2 · +2.8 clear of next best (65.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
Michael Wigham: 4/5 winners last 14d (80%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
16d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
60average
OR 90
Form20% weight
41below average
Last 6: 8-8-7-8-1

MarketBest price 21.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 9th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.91

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.06

High (11–15)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	13	Aalto J: William Buick · T: Ian Williams · draw 6 6yo · G · bt	78902	8-10	87	—	—	48.9	4/1F·5.00 SP
2	9	Back In Black J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 4yo · G · grt	24432	9-03	94	—	—	64.8	5/1·6.00 SP
3	3	Elarak J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charles Hills · draw 15 4yo · G · b	61442	9-12	103	—	—	59.7	13/2·7.50 SP
4	10	Supido J: Ryan Moore · T: Ian Williams · draw 13 4yo · G · bp	58137	9-03	94	—	—	55.7	7/1·8.00 SP
5	6	Colombier J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 14 6yo · G · bhFT H	9010	9-05	96	—	—	48.1	10/1·11.00 SP
6	7	Dark Tornado J: J F Egan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 9 5yo · G · grv	88781	9-05	90	—	—	68.2	18/1·19.00 SP
7	2	Two Tribes J: Oisin Murphy · T: Richard Spencer · draw 10 5yo · G · chb	12000	9-12	103	—	—	60.8	10/1·11.00 SP
8	4	Great Acclaim J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 11 5yo · G · bv	00323	9-09	100	—	—	59.9	15/2·8.50 SP
9	8	The Fingal Raven J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5 4yo · G · bt	41550	9-04	95	—	—	47.7	28/1·29.00 SP
10	1	Royal Zabeel J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4 5yo · G · b	04501	10-03	102	—	—	56.6	7/1·8.00 SP
11	12	Nostrum J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 6yo · G · bp	00258	8-13	90	—	—	49.9	25/1·26.00 SP
12	14	Physique J: Grace McEntee · T: Micky Fenton · draw 8 6yo · G · b	00321	8-06	77	—	—	65.4	16/1·17.00 SP
13	15	Dapper Guest J: Tyler Heard · T: George Margarson · draw 7 4yo · G · bv	90864	8-03	80	—	—	41.2	50/1·51.00 SP
—	—	Christian David J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 12 5yo · H · bb	09345	8-13	90	—	—	51.0	—
—	—	Witch Hunter J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 2 7yo · G · b	890000	9-07	98	—	—	45.9	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:25 Newmarket on 11 July 2026?

Aalto (FR) won the 15:25 Newmarket at SP 5.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Ian Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Dark Tornado) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 15:25 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Aalto (FR) (5.00), 2. Back In Black (IRE) (6.00), 3. Elarak (GB) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:25 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 24.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org