18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 7m19:00Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Follow @attheraces On X Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 11 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Dream Camp (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Andrew Balding
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Regal Desire (FR)
    Cam Hardie·Brian Ellison·beaten 3.25 lengths
    150/1·151.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lightning Glory (IRE)
    Hollie Doyle·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 2.75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 39.96s+1.86s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Dream Camp (IRE))

“Prominent - led over 2f out - shaken up over 1f out - went further clear inside final 110yds - readily”

AI top-rated Royal Fanfare (score 65.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.53 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Royal Fanfare

It's hard to get away from ROYAL FANFARE who was a beaten favourite on her Kempton debut, but still ran well to finish second of 12.

Forecast Evs Royal Fanfare, 5/1 Brunhilde, 11/2 Dream Camp, 13/2 Lightning Glory, 10/1 Topathemorning, 12/1 Halimede, 25/1 Sound Gloria, 33/1 Blue Tulip, Regal Desire, 50/1 South Beach, 100/1 Hunting Berries

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Royal Fanfare

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 65.3 · +16.9 clear of next best (48.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    John & Thady Gosden: 7/30 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    56average
    RPR 90 · TS 79 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.04
High (9–11)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Dream Camp
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · F · b
53
—48.3
11/2·6.50
SP
27
Regal Desire
J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 10
3yo · F · ch
——17.5
150/1·151.00
SP
36
Lightning Glory
J: Hollie Doyle · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
4
—47.3
100/30·4.33
SP
42
Brunhilde
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 8
3yo · F · b
——21.5
18/1·19.00
SP
511
Topathemorning
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 9
3yo · F · b
6
—41.8
11/1·12.00
SP
68
Royal Fanfare
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
3yo · F · b
2
—65.3
8/15F·1.53
SP
79
Sound Gloria
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 6
3yo · F · b
0
—30.5
50/1·51.00
SP
81
Blue Tulip
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 2
3yo · F · b
——20.5
100/1·101.00
SP
94
Halimede
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 11
3yo · F · bhFT H
——15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
105
Hunting Berries
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 3
3yo · F · b
0
—13.5
300/1·301.00
SP
1110
South Beach
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 4
3yo · F · b
——19.5
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) on 21 May 2026?

Dream Camp (IRE) won the 19:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Royal Fanfare) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Dream Camp (IRE) (6.50), 2. Regal Desire (FR) (151.00), 3. Lightning Glory (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 39.96s, 1.86s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org