18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 23m19:30Wolverhampton (AW)

19:50 Roscommon

Ireland

Racing Again Here On June 8th Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 11 runners · €8,835 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Superficial (FR)
    Colin Keane·Andrew McNamara
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Obscenity (IRE)AI top pick · 55.6
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 2.75 lengths
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Amplitude (IRE)
    Gary Carroll·Joseph G Murphy·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
2m 44.05s+9.45s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Superficial (FR))

“Midfield - edged left and bumped rival over 2f out - soon pushed along and headway - ridden to lead over 1f out - ran on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Amplitude

Navan winner Obscenity is feared but preference is for top weight AMPLITUDE who got the trip well when third over 1m5f at Ballinrobe

Forecast 9/4 Obscenity, 7/1 Amplitude, 15/2 Radar Ahead, 8/1 Superficial, 10/1 Out On Friday, God Of Thunder, 12/1 Silent Guardian, La Dame Blanche, Mr Rango, 14/1 Pavilion End, Lily Parr, 16/1 Cooley's Mist

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Obscenity

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 55.6 · +6.0 clear of next best (49.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 7-5-4-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 77 · RPR 84 · TS 54
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 14/79 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.96
High (9–12)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Superficial
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew McNamara · draw 1
4yo · C · ch
75326
7449.6
4/1·5.00
SP
22
Obscenity
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3
4yo · G · bv
75431
7755.6
11/10F·2.10
SP
31
Amplitude
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 10
4yo · G · b
10493
8137.8
9/1·10.00
SP
47
La Dame Blanche
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Dermot Kilmartin · draw 6
7yo · M · b
95087
7036.8
33/1·34.00
SP
59
Mr Rango
J: Siobhan Rutledge(3) · T: James M Barcoe · draw 4
8yo · G · b
00474
6638.6
9/1·10.00
SP
65
Silent Guardian
J: Luke McAteer · T: Anthony McCann · draw 12
5yo · G · bh
0044
7340.1
25/1·26.00
SP
76
Radar Ahead
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 9
5yo · M · ch
64033
7236.8
11/1·12.00
SP
811
Cooley's Mist
J: Chris Hayes · T: H Rogers · draw 5
4yo · G · b
60747
6343.3
14/1·15.00
SP
912
God Of Thunder
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 7
7yo · G · btp
970907
6230.4
16/1·17.00
SP
108
Lily Parr
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 8
4yo · F · ch
98544
6736.8
22/1·23.00
SP
1110
Out On Friday
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Philip M Byrne · draw 11
10yo · G · b
64200
6433.0
20/1·21.00
SP
——
Pavilion End
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 2
6yo · G · ch
67369
7632.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:50 Roscommon on 18 May 2026?

Superficial (FR) won the 19:50 Roscommon at SP 5.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by Andrew McNamara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:50 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Obscenity) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:50 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Superficial (FR) (5.00), 2. Obscenity (IRE) (2.10), 3. Amplitude (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:50 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 44.05s, 9.45s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org