19:20 Gowran Park

Ireland

@gowranpark1 On X Fillies Race

1m1½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 4 runners · €10,602 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Sparan Nua (IRE)
Declan McDonogh·J S Bolger
2/1·3.00
SP
2nd
Vauntingly (IRE)
Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 4.5 lengths
11/4·3.75
SP
3rd
Lady Mairen (IRE)AI top pick · 63.9
W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten 2 lengths
11/8F·2.38
SP

Race time

2m 1.90s+4.50s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Sparan Nua (IRE))

“In touch with leaders - headway on outer and led 2f out - ridden and went clear when drifted right inside final furlong - kept on well”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sparan Nua

Jim Bolger's SPARAN NUA looked like a filly who could go to better things when scoring at Naas and can prove best of this quartet.

Forecast 13/8 Sparan Nua, 2/1 Lady Mairen, 9/4 Vauntingly, 10/1 Marmeladova

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Mairen

W J Lee · P Twomey · 4yo

Top-rated of 4

score 63.9 · +6.2 clear of next best (57.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
83very strong
P Twomey: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 2-4-3-6-1
Ratings50% weight
50average
OR 92 · RPR 96 · TS 37

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Gowran Park 1m1½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.11

Mid (3–3)

IV 0.73

High (4–4)

IV 1.13

Today: Marmeladova (draw 4) gets the bias; Sparan Nua (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Sparan Nua J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 3 3yo · F · ch	1	9-03	—	97	54	57.7	2/1·3.00 SP
2	4	Vauntingly J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 3yo · F · b	3	8-10	—	78	25	48.2	11/4·3.75 SP
3	2	Lady Mairen J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 2 4yo · F · b	24361	9-12	92	96	37	63.9	11/8F·2.38 SP
4	1	Marmeladova J: Ronan Whelan · T: K J Condon · draw 4 5yo · M · b	02081	10-02	76	83	56	50.2	10/1·11.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:20 Gowran Park on 20 May 2026?

Sparan Nua (IRE) won the 19:20 Gowran Park at SP 3.00. Ridden by Declan McDonogh. Trained by J S Bolger.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Gowran Park?

No — the AI top pick (Lady Mairen) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:20 Gowran Park?

Top finishers: 1. Sparan Nua (IRE) (3.00), 2. Vauntingly (IRE) (3.75), 3. Lady Mairen (IRE) (2.38).

What was the winning time for the 19:20 Gowran Park?

The winning time was 2m 1.90s, 4.50s slower than standard.

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