Gowran Park
IrelandLadies Day July 25th Handicap
Wednesday, 20 May 2026
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Mephisto
Colin Keane · Gerard Keane · 9yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight50averageGerard Keane: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%)
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 2-4-5-4
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 49 · RPR 69 — above field median
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(9)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(0)—
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 10yo · G · cht | 901391 | 10-02 | 60 | 63 | 51 | 40.5 | 10/1·11.38 | 11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 2 | 13 | 4yo · G · b | 46360 | 9-13 | 58 | 62 | 40 | 40.4 | 14/1·14.72 | 13·13.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4yo · F · b | 05500 | 9-12 | 57 | 64 | 33 | 25.6 | 33/1·34.80+9% vs mkt | 38·38.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 4 | 6 | 5yo · G · b | 8800 | 9-11 | 55 | 63 | 60 | 34.9 | 40/1·45.50+32% vs mkt | 60·60.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 5 | 7 | 4yo · F · grhFT H | 59000 | 9-11 | 56 | 64 | 28 | 23.5 | 6/1·7.03+7% vs mkt | 13/2·7.50BetTom | ||
| 6 | 12 | 5yo · M · btp | 00089 | 9-09 | 53 | 55 | 15 | 31.1 | 28/1·28.10+14% vs mkt | 32·32.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 7 | 15 | 9yo · G · grv | 2454 | 9-05 | 49 | 69 | — | 46.9 | 11/1·12.04+4% vs mkt | 12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 8 | 14 | 5yo · G · ch | 25553 | 9-04 | 48 | 69 | 59 | 44.7 | 4/1·5.02 | 4.3·4.30Betfair Exchange | ||
| 9 | 4 | 6yo · M · b | 0488 | 9-02 | 46 | 62 | — | 23.7 | 40/1·45.50+21% vs mkt | 55·55.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 10 | 8 | 10yo · G · bp | 2090 | 8-12 | 42 | 64 | — | 26.1 | 66/1·61.56+54% vs mkt | 95·95.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| 11 | 11 | 5yo · M · bhFT H | 78700 | 8-12 | 42 | 63 | 41 | 21.8 | 11/4·3.85 | 3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange | ||
| 12 | 10 | 5yo · G · ch | 56609 | 8-10 | 40 | 64 | 56 | 26.4 | 28/1·28.10 | 26·26.00Betfair Exchange | ||
| — | 1 | Ethereal StarNon-runner 4yo · F · b | 00309 | 8-11 | 42 | 65 | — | — | — | Withdrawn | ||
| — | 9 | Sioux GritNon-runner 8yo · M · b | 5000 | 8-10 | 40 | 62 | — | — | — | Withdrawn | ||
| — | 2 | BynxNon-runner 8yo · M · b | 33306 | 9-06 | 50 | 61 | 52 | — | — | Withdrawn |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyDesert Friend and Jurality are respected but MEPHISTO (nap) looks nicely treated compared to his AW rating
Racing Post pick: Mephisto
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook100/30 Mephisto, 4/1 Jurality, 9/2 Desert Friend, 7/1 God The Highness, 12/1 Cala Gracioneta, Appian Way, 14/1 Timandi, Almenfee, 16/1 Our Lucky Lady, Synchronize, 20/1 Among The Pines, 25/1 Velvet And Vine
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org