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RacingAlpha

20:20 Gowran Park

Ireland

Ladies Day July 25th Handicap

2m · Flat · Good To Yielding · 12 runners · €5,900 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: MephistoAgrees with our pick

Desert Friend and Jurality are respected but MEPHISTO (nap) looks nicely treated compared to his AW rating

Forecast 100/30 Mephisto, 4/1 Jurality, 9/2 Desert Friend, 7/1 God The Highness, 12/1 Cala Gracioneta, Appian Way, 14/1 Timandi, Almenfee, 16/1 Our Lucky Lady, Synchronize, 20/1 Among The Pines, 25/1 Velvet And Vine

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mephisto

Colin Keane · Gerard Keane · 9yo

Top-rated of 12
score 46.9 · +2.2 clear of next best (44.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    40d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    Gerard Keane: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 2-4-5-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 49 · RPR 69 — above field median
MarketBest price 12.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
J: Colin Keane · T: Gerard Keane · draw 15
9yo · G · grv
2454
4946.911/1·12.0412.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
5yo · G · ch
25553
4844.74/1·5.024.3·4.30
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: P J F Murphy · draw 5
10yo · G · cht
901391
6040.510/1·11.3811.5·11.50
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 13
4yo · G · b
46360
5840.414/1·14.7213·13.00
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: J M Sheridan · T: Kieran Callaghan · draw 6
5yo · G · b
8800
5534.940/1·45.5060·60.00
Betfair Exchange · +32% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
5yo · M · btp
00089
5331.128/1·28.1032·32.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: J Morrison · draw 10
5yo · G · ch
56609
4026.428/1·28.1026·26.00
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Ms M Flynn · draw 8
10yo · G · bp
2090
4226.166/1·61.5695·95.00
Betfair Exchange · +54% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Luke McAteer · T: James M Barrett · draw 3
4yo · F · b
05500
5725.633/1·34.8038·38.00
Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
6yo · M · b
0488
4623.740/1·45.5055·55.00
Betfair Exchange · +21% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Ben Coen · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 7
4yo · F · grhFT H
59000
5623.56/1·7.0313/2·7.50
BetTom · +7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: P G Fahey · draw 11
5yo · M · bhFT H
78700
4221.811/4·3.853.9·3.90
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
Sioux GritNon-runner
J: · T: R P Burns · draw 9
8yo · M · b
5000
40Withdrawn
BynxNon-runner
J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 2
8yo · M · b
33306
50Withdrawn
Ethereal StarNon-runner
J: · T: Martin Hassett · draw 1
4yo · F · b
00309
42Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org