20:20 Gowran Park
IrelandLadies Day July 25th Handicap
2m · Flat · Good To Yielding · 12 runners · €5,900 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyDesert Friend and Jurality are respected but MEPHISTO (nap) looks nicely treated compared to his AW rating
Forecast 100/30 Mephisto, 4/1 Jurality, 9/2 Desert Friend, 7/1 God The Highness, 12/1 Cala Gracioneta, Appian Way, 14/1 Timandi, Almenfee, 16/1 Our Lucky Lady, Synchronize, 20/1 Among The Pines, 25/1 Velvet And Vine
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Mephisto
Colin Keane · Gerard Keane · 9yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Gerard Keane: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight44below averageLast 6: 2-4-5-4
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 49 · RPR 69 — above field median
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(8)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(1)
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners · sorted by AI score
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org