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4:43

Limerick

Ireland

Calor Gas Handicap Chase

Thursday, 21 May 2026

2m1½f·Chase·Good To Yielding·16 runners·€5,900

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.058.2/100 rating
Stily
6.60Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way58.2/100 rating
Stily
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Stily

Sean O'Keeffe · Michael J McDonagh · 6yo

58.2/100
+6.0 vs next best (52.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Ratings50% weight
    64average
    OR 85 · RPR 107 · TS 96 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 5-6-3-3-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Michael J McDonagh — no runners last 14 days
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    182d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAIBest price
10
9yo · G · bt
13850
12-001001055245.5
16/1
William Hill
20
9yo · G · bbFT B
62060
12-001001089946.0
18/1
BetWright
30
9yo · G · b
64P0F
11-11971046552.0
12/1
Coral
40
6yo · G · cht
964P7
11-09951048144.5
14/1
Bet365
50
7yo · G · b
49065
11-0894997341.9
8/1
Bet365
60
5yo · G · bp
P8936
11-038910410249.8
8/1
Bet365
70
9yo · G · b
70904
10-138540.3
12/1
Bet365
80
9yo · G · chtb
P1674
10-13851037845.3
11/2
BetWright
90
6yo · G · b
56332
10-13851079658.2
6.6
Betfair Exchange
100
7yo · G · b
06060
10-108233.4
33/1
Bet365
110
8yo · M · b
62515
10-108252.2
6/1
BetWright
120
6yo · M · chp
0PPP
10-098145.5
33/1
Bet365
130
10yo · G · bv
P2079
10-088010144.0
25/1
BetWright
140
8yo · G · bt
27P58
10-057737.9
14/1
Bet365
150
8yo · M · b/brt
95726
10-04761059644.8
8/1
Bet365
160
9yo · G · bt
9F60P
10-0072873329.2
40/1
Bet365
170
9yo · M · bp
22414
10-128445.8
16/1
Bet365
180
9yo · G · bb
05428
10-108249.3
9/1
Bet365
190
7yo · G · bt
9603
10-118340.4
10/1
Bet365

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Calor Gas Handicap Chase?

The Calor Gas Handicap Chase is off at 4:43 on 21 May 2026 at Limerick (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 4:43 Limerick?

2m1½f, Chase, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 4:43 Limerick?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 4:43 Limerick?

The AI top-rated runner is Stily (score 58.2, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 4:43 Limerick?

The market favourite is Donnrua Dream at a best price of 6.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Stily.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

A very competitive opener but ELLIES ROCK (nap), a half-sister to the classy Thunder Rock, is fancied to make a winning chase debut

Racing Post pick: Ellies Rock

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

5/1 Ellies Rock, Stily, 6/1 L'Amiral Fromentin, Donnrua Dream, 8/1 Big Island, Finnicky Filly, 11/1 Brave Endeavour, 12/1 Mic Drop, 16/1 Prince Of Air, Quinn The Eskimo, Party Pack, 20/1 Pahlavi, 33/1 Benzine, 40/1 Spread The Faith, Falcon Park, 66/1 Max Time

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org