Who won the 16:42 Ayr on 20 May 2026?
Native Honey (IRE) won the 16:42 Ayr at SP 5.00. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.
16:42 Ayr
Birra Poretti Handicap (Div II)
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 20 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stNative Honey (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndTattie Bogle (GB)Andrew Mullen·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1 length7/2F·4.50SP
- 3rdHabrdi (IRE)James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten .5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 29.11s+2.51s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Native Honey (IRE))
“Took keen hold - midfield - headway on far side of group 2f out - ridden and led final 110yds - kept on”
AI top-rated Great (score 49.9) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Great
The step back up to 7f could be ideal for GREAT and he is taken to defy top weight. Habrdi is second choice.
Forecast 7/2 Habrdi, 9/2 Great, 5/1 Qazaq, 6/1 Pension Pot, Native Honey, 13/2 Tattie Bogle, 9/1 Rwenearlytheredad, 12/1 Macedonian, 25/1 Golden Valour
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Great
Oisin Orr · Sam England · 4yo
Top-rated of 8
score 49.9 · +3.2 clear of next best (46.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight53averageSam England: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70 · RPR 83 · TS 60
- Form20% weight36below averageLast 6: 4-3-0-6-3
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ayr 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–9)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 71407 | 68 | 42.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 4yo · G · gr | 425318 | 68 | 46.7 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8 5yo · G · bp | 914862 | 63 | 46.4 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 838726 | 67 | 41.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 9 10yo · G · b | 15006 | 51 | 30.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Harry Smith(7) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 4 6yo · G · bFirst after wind op | 67868 | 62 | 39.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Sam England · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 43063 | 70 | 49.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 07470 | 65 | 38.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| — | — | J: William Pyle · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 42457 | 69 | 44.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:42 Ayr?
No — the AI top pick (Great) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:42 Ayr?
Top finishers: 1. Native Honey (IRE) (5.00), 2. Tattie Bogle (GB) (4.50), 3. Habrdi (IRE) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:42 Ayr?
The winning time was 1m 29.11s, 2.51s slower than standard.
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