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4:42

Ayr

Great Britain

Birra Poretti Handicap (Div II)

Wednesday, 20 May 2026

7f·Flat·Class 5·Good To Firm·8 runners·£4,187
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Native Honey (IRE)
    Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie
    5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tattie Bogle (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1 length
    4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Habrdi (IRE)
    James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten .5 lengths
    9.50
    SP
Race time
1m 29.11s+2.51s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Native Honey (IRE))

Took keen hold - midfield - headway on far side of group 2f out - ridden and led final 110yds - kept on

AI top-rated Great (score 49.9) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.049.9/100 rating
Great
6.80Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way49.9/100 rating
Great
6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Great

Oisin Orr · Sam England · 4yo

49.9/100
+3.2 vs next best (46.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Sam England: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 · RPR 83 · TS 60
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 4-3-0-6-3
MarketBest price 6.80 (Betfair Exchange) — 4th pick of 8 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
716
4yo · G · b
43063
9-0970836049.9
11/2
SP
135
4yo · G · b
71407
9-0768806042.8
4/1
SP
247
4yo · G · gr
425318
9-0768816146.7
7/2F
SP
453
5yo · G · b
838726
9-0667854941.3
9/2
SP
862
4yo · G · b
07470
9-0465817938.0
10/1
SP
378
5yo · G · bp
914862
9-0263836946.4
17/2
SP
684
6yo · G · bFirst after wind op
67868
9-0162828039.7
5/1
SP
599
10yo · G · b
15006
8-0451797330.5
33/1
SP
1
4yo · G · b
42457
9-0869835144.1

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 4:42 Ayr on 20 May 2026?

Native Honey (IRE) won the 4:42 Ayr at SP 5.00. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 4:42 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Great) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 4:42 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Native Honey (IRE) (5.00), 2. Tattie Bogle (GB) (4.50), 3. Habrdi (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 4:42 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 29.11s, 2.51s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

The step back up to 7f could be ideal for GREAT and he is taken to defy top weight. Habrdi is second choice.

Racing Post pick: Great

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

7/2 Habrdi, 9/2 Great, 5/1 Qazaq, 6/1 Pension Pot, Native Honey, 13/2 Tattie Bogle, 9/1 Rwenearlytheredad, 12/1 Macedonian, 25/1 Golden Valour

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org