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Next · 8h 26m17:10Lingfield (AW)

16:15 Curragh

Ireland

Heider Family Stables Gallinule Stakes (Group 3)

1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · €41,230 · Saturday, 23 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83
  1. 1st
    Causeway (IRE)AI top pick · 73.4
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zia Zabel (IRE)
    W J Lee·Miss Natalia Lupini·beaten 0.2 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Shaihaan (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten 2 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
2m 2.22s−2.58s vs std

Notably fast — strong race time, solid form line.

In-running (Causeway (IRE))

“Led early - soon prominent - led again over 1f out - ridden inside final furlong - faced challenge final 110yds - just held on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Causeway

This looks like a good opportunity for CAUSEWAY to maintain the progress he has shown in winning a handicap and a Listed race this term

Forecast 4/5 Causeway, 100/30 Drop Dead Gorgeous, 13/2 Shaihaan, 10/1 Shosholoza, 12/1 Amadeus Mozart, 16/1 South Island, 20/1 Mr Vettori, 25/1 Zia Zabel, Alphecca

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Causeway

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 73.4 · +6.9 clear of next best (66.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    95very strong
    Last 6: 4-1-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 107 · RPR 120 · TS 106 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    A P O'Brien: 7/46 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.13).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.13
High (7–9)
IV 0.78

Today: Causeway (draw 6) and Drop Dead Gorgeous (draw 5) get the bias; Mr Vettori (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Causeway
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
3yo · C · b
4111
10773.4
5/6F·1.83
SP
27
Zia Zabel
J: W J Lee · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 1
3yo · C · b
241
8855.4
12/1·13.00
SP
34
Shaihaan
J: Chris Hayes · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 3
3yo · C · ch
72414
10157.5
10/1·11.00
SP
43
Mr Vettori
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8
3yo · C · bpFT P
02125
9461.1
40/1·41.00
SP
56
South Island
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 9
3yo · C · b
26186
10053.1
28/1·29.00
SP
65
Shosholoza
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4
3yo · C · b
158
10457.8
11/1·12.00
SP
71
Amadeus Mozart
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2
3yo · C · b
12
—65.4
10/1·11.00
SP
88
Alphecca
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 7
3yo · F · b
31179
8949.3
100/1·101.00
SP
99
Drop Dead Gorgeous
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
3yo · F · b
13
—66.5
7/2·4.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:15 Curragh on 23 May 2026?

Causeway (IRE) won the 16:15 Curragh at SP 1.83. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Curragh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Causeway, won the race (AI score 73.4).

What were the placings in the 16:15 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Causeway (IRE) (1.83), 2. Zia Zabel (IRE) (13.00), 3. Shaihaan (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:15 Curragh?

The winning time was 2m 2.22s, 2.58s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org