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15:18 Cartmel

Molson Coors Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m5f · Chase · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners · £4,898 · Friday, 26 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Passengerontheship (IRE)
    Jonathan England·Sam England
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jack Sprat (IRE)
    Brian Hughes·James Moffatt·beaten 2.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Justicialism (IRE)
    Mr D McGill·Noel C Kelly·beaten 3.5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
5m 18.04s+11.04s vs std

Markedly slow — usually heavy ground or an attritional race.

In-running (Passengerontheship (IRE))

Disputed the front early - headed after the 5th but remained prominent - led outright from the 8th - pressed after the last - driven out and stayed on

AI top-rated Settle Down Jill (score 77.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Aslukgoes

Passengerontheship arrives off four straight wins in the space of just over a month, the most recent a nine-and-a-half-length success just five days ago, and the manner of those victories suggests a 7lb penalty is unlikely to halt his progress. Settle Down Jill is an in-form rival with course and distance form, and Justicialism has been consistently placed in recent starts over hurdles and could translate that form now chasing. Passengerontheship is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Settle Down Jill

Harry Reed · Tristan Davidson · 6yo

Top-rated of 5
score 77.7 · +5.0 clear of next best (72.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=9)
    Tristan Davidson: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    74strong
    OR 111 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 5-2-3-1-3
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 0
7yo · G · brt
P1111
10572.7
11/8F·2.38
SP
26
J: Brian Hughes · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
8yo · G · bp
P4749
9855.8
12/1·13.00
SP
34
J: Mr D McGill(5) · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 0
8yo · G · btp
8P222
10364.0
6/1·7.00
SP
41
J: Harry Reed · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 0
6yo · M · b
52313
11177.7
9/2·5.50
SP
UR5
J: Sean Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
8yo · G · bp
P4764
9965.4
5/2·3.50
SP
J: · T: James Owen · draw 0
7yo · M · b
12137
10463.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:18 Cartmel on 26 June 2026?

Passengerontheship (IRE) won the 15:18 Cartmel at SP 2.38. Ridden by Jonathan England. Trained by Sam England.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:18 Cartmel?

No — the AI top pick (Settle Down Jill) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:18 Cartmel?

Top finishers: 1. Passengerontheship (IRE) (2.38), 2. Jack Sprat (IRE) (13.00), 3. Justicialism (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:18 Cartmel?

The winning time was 5m 18.04s, 11.04s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org