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RacingAlpha

16:23 Carlisle

Racing TV Fillies' Handicap

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 15 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Sandy Craic (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Amelia's Joy (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Herrington·beaten .5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Albeseeingyer (GB)
    David Allan·Steph Hollinshead·beaten 2 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 28.22s+3.42s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Velvet Rhythm (score 51.7) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Velvet Rhythm

Rowan Scott · Charlie Johnston · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 51.7 · +2.3 clear of next best (49.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 4-3-1-1-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Charlie Johnston: 3/35 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.83
High (8–10)
IV 1.16

Today: Sahara Magic (draw 8) and Anorah Unleashed (draw 9) get the bias; Amelia's Joy (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 4
3yo · F · b
43255
6944.4
9/2·5.50
SP
24
4yo · F · bhp
217145
6249.4
8/1·9.00
SP
32
J: David Allan · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 7
7yo · M · b
80256
6744.0
100/30·4.33
SP
410
3yo · F · chtp
56384
5539.7
28/1·29.00
SP
51
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 6
4yo · F · ch
47217
6843.1
16/1·17.00
SP
66
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
3yo · F · b
07944
6840.7
18/1·19.00
SP
79
J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8
3yo · F · b
17776
6744.3
28/1·29.00
SP
87
J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3
3yo · F · b
43114
6851.7
7/2·4.50
SP
93
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Craig Lidster · draw 10
5yo · M · b
94632
6338.5
3/1F·4.00
SP
108
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1
3yo · F · b
55447
6742.2
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:23 Carlisle on 15 June 2026?

Sandy Craic (IRE) won the 16:23 Carlisle at SP 5.50. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by David O'Meara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:23 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Velvet Rhythm) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 16:23 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Sandy Craic (IRE) (5.50), 2. Amelia's Joy (GB) (9.00), 3. Albeseeingyer (GB) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 16:23 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 28.22s, 3.42s slower than standard.

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