Who won the 14:10 Carlisle on 15 June 2026?
Invincible Ruby (IRE) won the 14:10 Carlisle at SP 7.50. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by Iain Jardine.
14:10 Carlisle
Watch Racing TV Live Handicap (Div I)
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,402 · Monday, 15 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stInvincible Ruby (IRE)Jack Nicholls·Iain Jardine13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndBaby Rover (IRE)Joanna Mason·Katie Scott·beaten 2.5 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdWait For It (IRE)Dougie Costello·Liam Bailey·beaten 0.3 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
1m 12.98s+3.08s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
AI top-rated Rain Cap (score 50.7) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Rain Cap
Sean Kirrane · John David Riches · 9yo
Top-rated of 9
score 50.7 · +5.1 clear of next best (45.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)John David Riches: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong70d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 2-4-0-2-3
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.10
High (7–9)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 4yo · F · gr | 80004 | 60 | 33.1 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Katie Scott · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 09659 | 46 | 29.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Dougie Costello · T: Liam Bailey · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 94860 | 46 | 33.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 9 3yo · G · bpFT P | 98824 | 58 | 37.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Michael Herrington · draw 5 7yo · G · bp | 466551 | 54 | 45.7 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 3 8yo · G · ch | 123563 | 56 | 43.8 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: John David Riches · draw 6 9yo · G · bv | 24023 | 52 | 50.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 4 3yo · F · bvFT V | 23327 | 59 | 36.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7 3yo · F · bv | 45059 | 47 | 36.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Rain Cap) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 14:10 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Invincible Ruby (IRE) (7.50), 2. Baby Rover (IRE) (13.00), 3. Wait For It (IRE) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:10 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 12.98s, 3.08s slower than standard.
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