16:33 Chepstow

Engstaff-In Birthday Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 15 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Punchbowl Flyer (IRE)
Alexandra Egan·John O'Shea
15/8J·2.88
SP
2nd
Autumn Angel (IRE)
Kieren Fox·Tony Carroll·beaten 1.25 lengths
11/4·3.75
SP
3rd
Whitesnake (GB)
Rossa Ryan·Roger Teal·beaten 1.5 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 10.98s+2.98s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Too Much Trevor (score 44.5) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Too Much Trevor

Olivia Tubb(5) · Grace Harris · 5yo

Top-rated of 7

score 44.5 · +4.1 clear of next best (40.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 6-5-2-3-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
9d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
36below average
OR 54
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Grace Harris: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.00

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.90

High (6–7)

IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Punchbowl Flyer J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: John O'Shea · draw 7 9yo · G · bb	438702	9-09	60	—	—	33.9	15/8J·2.88 SP
2	4	Autumn Angel J: Kieren Fox · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 7yo · M · bb	633714	9-00	51	—	—	40.5	11/4·3.75 SP
3	2	Whitesnake J: Rossa Ryan · T: Roger Teal · draw 5 4yo · F · gr	477	9-06	57	—	—	36.0	14/1·15.00 SP
4	3	Too Much Trevor J: Olivia Tubb(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 3 5yo · G · b	65231	9-03	54	—	—	44.5	15/8J·2.88 SP
5	5	Blue Point Express J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 6 4yo · F · bp	68950	8-09	46	—	—	35.7	12/1·13.00 SP
6	6	Bama Lama J: Oliver Searle(5) · T: Rod Millman · draw 2 8yo · M · ch	46476	8-09	46	—	—	28.9	25/1·26.00 SP
7	7	Poet J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 4 7yo · G · b	989909	8-09	46	—	—	25.3	150/1·151.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:33 Chepstow on 15 June 2026?

Punchbowl Flyer (IRE) won the 16:33 Chepstow at SP 2.88. Ridden by Alexandra Egan. Trained by John O'Shea.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:33 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Too Much Trevor) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:33 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Punchbowl Flyer (IRE) (2.88), 2. Autumn Angel (IRE) (3.75), 3. Whitesnake (GB) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:33 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 10.98s, 2.98s slower than standard.

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