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RacingAlpha

19:00 Beverley

Connexin Ultrafast Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £5,234 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Lorca's Waltz (GB)
    Harry Davies·William Haggas
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Race To The Edge (GB)
    Robbie Downey·Roger Varian·beaten 0.05 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Glen Nevis (GB)
    Oliver Stammers·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
1m 31.79s+2.09s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Fozzie (score 52.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Fozzie

Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 52.4 · +10.9 clear of next best (41.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 7-7-2-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Kevin Ryan: 2/29 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Beverley 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–9)
IV 1.09

Today: Fozzie (draw 7) and Race To The Edge (draw 9) get the bias; Lorca's Waltz (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 4
3yo · G · chtFT T
95
21.4
15/2·8.50
SP
28
J: Robbie Downey · T: Roger Varian · draw 9
3yo · G · b
73
31.5
7/4F·2.75
SP
35
3yo · G · b
24
27.2
8/1·9.00
SP
44
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 7
3yo · G · b
77223
8152.4
11/4·3.75
SP
56
J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 3
3yo · G · bpFT P
36272
7241.5
12/1·13.00
SP
69
J: Sam James · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 2
3yo · F · b
85
19.7
40/1·41.00
SP
72
J: P J McDonald · T: Edward Bethell · draw 8
3yo · G · b
62
28.2
4/1·5.00
SP
83
3yo · C · b
58
16.3
150/1·151.00
SP
91
J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 5
4yo · G · ch
15.0
500/1·501.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Beverley on 16 June 2026?

Lorca's Waltz (GB) won the 19:00 Beverley at SP 8.50. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Beverley?

No — the AI top pick (Fozzie) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Beverley?

Top finishers: 1. Lorca's Waltz (GB) (8.50), 2. Race To The Edge (GB) (2.75), 3. Glen Nevis (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Beverley?

The winning time was 1m 31.79s, 2.09s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org