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RacingAlpha

14:15 Thirsk

British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 5 runners · £6,281 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Counter Intuitive (IRE)
    George Downing·Ed Walker
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hello Friend (IRE)AI top pick · 36.1
    Shane Foley·K R Burke·beaten .75 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hapiness (IRE)
    Rhys Clutterbuck·Ralph Beckett·beaten 1 length
    13/8·2.62
    SP
Race time
2m 41.79s+10.09s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Hello Friend

Shane Foley · K R Burke · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 36.1 · +0.5 clear of next best (35.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    K R Burke: 8/39 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m4f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.71
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.49
High (5–5)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Counter Intuitive
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 2
3yo · F · b
86
—22.3
5/1·6.00
SP
24
Hello Friend
J: Shane Foley · T: K R Burke · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
2
—36.1
6/4F·2.50
SP
33
Hapiness
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4
3yo · F · b
2
—35.6
13/8·2.62
SP
45
Talitha Rouge
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
3
—29.0
5/1·6.00
SP
52
Galistra
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Alan Brown · draw 1
3yo · F · grFirst after wind op
85
—15.2
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Thirsk on 16 June 2026?

Counter Intuitive (IRE) won the 14:15 Thirsk at SP 6.00. Ridden by George Downing. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Hello Friend) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Counter Intuitive (IRE) (6.00), 2. Hello Friend (IRE) (2.50), 3. Hapiness (IRE) (2.62).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Thirsk?

The winning time was 2m 41.79s, 10.09s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org