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RacingAlpha

16:42 Thirsk

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5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Emerald Harmony (IRE)
    David Nolan·Paul Midgley
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Military Girl (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 1 length
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Beaumadier (IRE)
    Hope Regan·Mark Loughnane·beaten .5 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
58.56s+2.26s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

AI top-rated Spendmore Lane (score 54.3) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Spendmore Lane

William Pyle · David Loughnane · 4yo

Top-rated of 10
score 54.3 · +2.1 clear of next best (52.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 1-3-7-1-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    David Loughnane: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.08
High (8–10)
IV 1.22

Today: Spendmore Lane (draw 10) and Military Girl (draw 9) get the bias; Emerald Harmony (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 4
5yo · M · b
27303
7448.0
3/1·4.00
SP
26
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 9
4yo · F · b
44311
7252.2
9/4F·3.25
SP
35
J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 2
6yo · G · b
451474
7239.4
40/1·41.00
SP
43
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 8
6yo · G · btp
556653
7346.4
8/1·9.00
SP
59
J: Mark Winn · T: Paul Midgley · draw 7
6yo · G · b
77304
6844.2
16/1·17.00
SP
67
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
4yo · F · b
80051
7144.6
11/2·6.50
SP
71
J: William Pyle · T: David Loughnane · draw 10
4yo · F · be/s
137133
7454.3
15/2·8.50
SP
810
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Ray Craggs · draw 3
8yo · G · b/brp
34209
6646.0
28/1·29.00
SP
98
J: Ben Robinson · T: Ben Haslam · draw 1
4yo · G · br
17005
6933.7
16/1·17.00
SP
104
7yo · G · b
02045
7242.0
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:42 Thirsk on 16 June 2026?

Emerald Harmony (IRE) won the 16:42 Thirsk at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Paul Midgley.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:42 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Spendmore Lane) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 16:42 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Emerald Harmony (IRE) (4.00), 2. Military Girl (IRE) (3.25), 3. Beaumadier (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:42 Thirsk?

The winning time was 58.56s, 2.26s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org