15:25 Thirsk

Theakston Brewing Legends Since 1827 Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th

1st
Vingegaard (IRE)
Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho
40/1·41.00
SP
2nd
Space Bear (IRE)
Joanna Mason·Michael Appleby·beaten 0.05 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP
3rd
Record Day (GB)
Ben Robinson·Brian Ellison·beaten 0.2 lengths
40/1·41.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.33s+3.63s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

AI top-rated Frantic (score 58.8) finished 7th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Frantic

George Downing · Ed Walker · 3yo

Top-rated of 11

score 58.8 · +8.4 clear of next best (50.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 2-4-2-2
Trainer20% weight
53average
Ed Walker: 6/29 winners last 14d (21%)
Ratings50% weight
48below average
OR 72

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.73

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.08

High (9–11)

IV 1.22

Today: Frantic (draw 9) and Emperor Caradoc (draw 11) get the bias; Space Bear (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Vingegaard J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 4yo · G · bb	09036	10-01	74	—	—	45.4	40/1·41.00 SP
2	3	Space Bear J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael Appleby · draw 2 3yo · F · b	325139	9-09	75	—	—	50.4	8/1·9.00 SP
3	10	Record Day J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 3yo · G · ch	8489	9-02	68	—	—	38.2	40/1·41.00 SP
4	7	Taygar J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 5yo · M · b	88222	9-05	64	—	—	46.2	7/2·4.50 SP
5	4	Sugar Baby J: Mark Winn · T: Peter Niven · draw 3 8yo · G · b	12787	9-08	67	—	—	46.4	20/1·21.00 SP
6	1	Emperor Caradoc J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 11 7yo · G · bp	40135	10-02	75	—	—	50.3	6/1·7.00 SP
7	5	Frantic J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 3yo · F · b	2422	9-06	72	—	—	58.8	11/8F·2.38 SP
8	8	Kings Merchant J: William Pyle · T: Philip Kirby · draw 7 5yo · G · bpFT P	745647	9-04	63	—	—	36.6	25/1·26.00 SP
9	9	Pull The Rug J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4 3yo · F · bvFT V	31574	9-03	69	—	—	45.0	15/2·8.50 SP
10	6	Tactical Formation J: Jack Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 10 3yo · G · bpFT P	4335	9-05	71	—	—	44.0	20/1·21.00 SP
11	11	Harlequin Bay J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 6 3yo · C · b	52230	9-01	67	—	—	45.6	125/1·126.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:25 Thirsk on 16 June 2026?

Vingegaard (IRE) won the 15:25 Thirsk at SP 41.00. Ridden by Ryan Sexton. Trained by Julie Camacho.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Frantic) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 15:25 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Vingegaard (IRE) (41.00), 2. Space Bear (IRE) (9.00), 3. Record Day (GB) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:25 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 12.33s, 3.63s slower than standard.

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